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Germany vs Finland – EuroBasket 2025 Semifinal Prediction

Germany vs Finland – EuroBasket 2025 Semifinal Prediction

by Dalius Mikalauskas

Tip-off Time: Friday, 12.09.2025, 16:00 CET

Germany’s path to the semifinals has been marked by both dominance and resilience. After sweeping the group stage, they faced their biggest test in the quarterfinals against Slovenia but responded with a 99-91 victory. Their ability to consistently score at a high level, particularly in the closing minutes, has been a defining strength.

🏀 Prediction: Over 180.5 @1.76

The Germans rely heavily on offensive firepower, with Franz Wagner and Dennis Schroder leading the way. Germany is currently first in points per game at EuroBasket 2025, averaging 101.9 points per game, which highlights their scoring dominance. They are also the most balanced team in the tournament, with a deep supporting cast including Andreas Obst, Maodo Lo, and Daniel Theis providing strong contributions alongside their stars. Against Slovenia, they poured in 29 points in the fourth quarter alone, showing they can explode offensively when needed.

Finland, on the other hand, has thrived thanks to its perimeter shooting and fast pace. They are fifth in scoring with 87.3 points per game, making them one of the tournament’s top offensive teams. Against Georgia, they drained 10 three-pointers in the first half and scored 93 points overall. Even when Lauri Markkanen is not at his absolute best, role players like Mikael Jantunen and Elias Valtonen have provided an additional scoring punch.

With Germany averaging nearly 102 points per game and Finland scoring over 87, a high-scoring affair seems inevitable. The combination of German efficiency, depth, and Finnish pace makes the over line of 180.5 an attractive choice.

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