This article provides a preview of the Italy vs Cyprus matchup, including our top value betting prediction. The game tips off on 4 September 2025, with Italy aiming to confirm their place among the group leaders and Cyprus already eliminated from contention.

🏀 Prediction: Total Match Points Under 153 @1.8

Italy have put themselves in a strong position with a 3-1 record at EuroBasket 2025, despite starting off with a poor showing against Greece, where they fell short and Simone Fontecchio struggled badly, shooting just 1-for-11. Since then, they’ve bounced back impressively with wins over Georgia, Bosnia and Herzegovina, and most recently Spain. What’s been most notable is Italy’s resilience – they trailed in all three of those victories, including by 13 points against Spain, yet managed to rally each time and close out games with composure.

Against Spain, Marco Spissu proved to be the difference-maker in the clutch. In the final 30 seconds, he grabbed a crucial offensive rebound, hit two free throws, then drew an unsportsmanlike foul and calmly converted two more shots at the line to secure the win. Saliou Niang also had a standout double-double performance, although he picked up an ankle injury that puts his status in doubt. Meanwhile, both Fontecchio and Darius Thompson underperformed again, but Italy are unlikely to rely heavily on them in their next game. Facing Cyprus, the Italians shouldn’t need their stars to play big minutes.

Cyprus, on the other hand, are only at this EuroBasket because of their role as hosts. They went winless in qualification and their struggles have continued in the main tournament, dropping all four of their games by wide margins. Losses to Bosnia and Herzegovina, Spain, Greece, and Georgia leave them bottom of the group at 0-4 with no chance of advancing.

Italy are overwhelming favorites here, and head coach Gianmarco Pozzecco will likely give his stars some rest and hand more minutes to the bench. Even when the regular starters have been on the floor, Italy hasn't needed maximum effort to dispatch weaker opponents. Cyprus, meanwhile, have yet to score more than 69 points in any game at this EuroBasket.

With Italy unlikely to push themselves and Cyprus lacking scoring power, this matchup projects as a low-scoring affair. The most logical bet is for the total points to finish under the line of 153. Therefore we recommend checking out best betting sites to get bonuses on first deposit and place the bet with the best odds.

❗This prediction is for guidance only, and we are not responsible for your bets.

Dalius Mikalauskas

Dalius Mikalauskas is a sports betting expert and sports writer at Stakehunters, with over 20 years of experience in the field. He specializes in basketball, football, tennis, and other online sports betting markets. Dalius also has a long history as a professional poker player, spending thousands of hours playing live poker in cities like Las Vegas, London, and Paris. In recent years, he has developed a strong interest in crypto betting, combining it with his deep knowledge of online sports betting. In his free time, Dalius enjoys running marathons, showing the same determination in life as he does in his work.

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