リヴァプール対ブライトン 予想と賭けのヒント（2026年10月25日）

目次

• 23 Goals Scored, Five Conceded
• Anfield Has Gone Quiet
• Should You Back Brighton at Anfield?
• Goals at Both Ends?
• Brighton Are the Better Side Right Now

Brighton have the best goal record in the league at 23-5, from five wins, one draw and one defeat. No team has scored more.

Their last five results:

• 18 Oct, PL: Brighton 5-0 Crystal Palace

• 15 Oct, UECL: Brighton 4-0 Zalgiris

• 10 Oct, PL: Sunderland 0-2 Brighton

• 19 Sep, PL: Brighton 3-0 Arsenal

• 16 Sep, League Cup: Man Utd 2-3 Brighton

That is five wins, 17 goals scored and two conceded. Eleven different players have scored for them in the league.

Liverpool sit on 12 points with a goal record of 9-8. They have failed to score in their last two home league games, a 0-0 with Fulham and a 3-0 defeat to Manchester City.

They did put four past Villarreal on Tuesday, but only after going 2-0 down, and the 4-3 finish meant three more goals conceded at home. That was also a long, hard night five days before this one.

At 2.25, the price gives Brighton about a 44% chance of winning once the draw is taken out. On current form we’d make them favourites to win, never mind avoid defeat. The draw gives us our money back, so this is the safer way to take a side we rate highly.

The team news helps. リバプール are without Dominik Szoboszlai, Jeremie Frimpong, Conor Bradley, Giovanni Leoni and Hugo Ekitike. Brighton are missing Kaoru Mitoma, Yankuba Minteh and Evan Ferguson, with Mats Wieffer a doubt, but their depth has carried them so far.

History is on Brighton’s side too. They have won two of the last three league meetings:

• 21 Mar 2026, PL: Brighton 2-1 Liverpool

• 14 Feb 2026, FA Cup: Liverpool 3-0 Brighton

• 13 Dec 2025, PL: Liverpool 2-0 Brighton

• 19 May 2025, PL: Brighton 3-2 Liverpool

• 2 Nov 2024, PL: Liverpool 2-1 Brighton

Brighton’s league games average four goals each (28 in seven). Liverpool’s average fewer, which is why this is a smaller stake.

Four of the last five meetings went over 2.5 goals, and Liverpool’s defence has just let in three at home. If Brighton score first, Liverpool have to open up, and that’s when Brighton’s counter-attack does its damage.

The table, the goal records and the recent results all point one way. Our Liverpool vs Brighton prediction is that Brighton leave Anfield with at least a point, so Draw No Bet at 2.25 is the main bet with a big stake. Over 2.5 goals at 1.53 is the smaller second pick.