Olympiacos vs Fenerbahce Prediction & Betting Tips: EuroLeague, 23 October 2026

Olympiacos won two overtime games in one week, but the injury list keeps growing. Fournier is out for about three weeks, Montero is doubtful and Dorsey is suspended. On Friday, the champions face a Fenerbahce side with a top three defense, and both clubs are chasing a Final Four spot again. This article gives you the stats and arguments behind our pick, so read on before you bet.

🏀 Olympiacos vs Fenerbahce Prediction: Fenerbahce +3.5 Handicap @1.84

Fenerbahce sit at 5 wins and 1 loss after six rounds. They beat Zalgiris 99 to 80 and Partizan 74 to 65. Their defense ranks third in the league with a 103.1 rating.

They also play the second slowest pace in the competition. Opponents score just 74.5 points per game against them, the second best mark in the EuroLeague. Fewer possessions usually mean tighter games.

Partizan tested them, too. Fenerbahce scored only 25 points in the first half. Then they won the third quarter 34 to 16 and took control.

Evan Fournier will miss about three weeks with shoulder and knee injuries. Jean Montero is doubtful with ankle and knee problems. Tyler Dorsey is suspended by the club after he spoke out about his playing time on social media.

Olympiacos still showed fight last week. They beat Valencia 102 to 97 in overtime after trailing by 28 points. Then they beat Barcelona 105 to 100 in overtime, even after wasting an 11 point lead.

Fenerbahce have a few questions of their own. Chris Silva, Melih Mahmutoglu and Onuralp Bitim are listed as questionable. Trent Forrest, Will Clyburn and the recovered Shane Larkin give coach Sarunas Jasikevicius more options. Check the odds at several bookmakers before you place a bet.

Olympiacos still bring real power. They lead the league with 43.2 two point attempts and 23.7 free throw attempts per game. They also rank first in offensive rebounding rate at 37.4%.

These two clubs are always main candidates for the Final Four. They met in the semifinals last season, and both should be back there this year. A game between them rarely gets out of hand.

Fenerbahce only need to lose by three points or fewer, or win outright. Their defense ranks third and their pace is the second slowest, so the margin should stay small. Olympiacos have no Fournier or Dorsey, and Montero may sit out too.

Fenerbahce also allow only 15.5 assists per game, the best mark in the league. Last season, the teams split their regular season games. That history suggests a close contest, and the 3.5 point cushion gives Fenerbahce backers a real edge.

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