Atalanta - SPAL Football prediction

Atalanta and SPAL play at Stadio Atleti Azzurri d'Italia in a match of the 23rd round of Serie A TIM. In the last confrontation between these teams in this competition, on 17-09-2018, the SPAL won at home by (2-0). Contrary to what one would expect, the record of recent direct matches is favorable to SPAL, who in the last 3 matches won 1 and drew 2. The home / away condition deserves special attention, since although this is a match between 5th and 14th overall ranking, in fact this is a clash between the 12th place in home games and the 13th as a visitor.

Analysis of Atalanta
The home team is currently in 5th place with 35 points earned after 10 wins, 5 draws and 7 losses. In the penultimate match, tied at home to Roma by (3-3). In the last match, he won away to Cagliari by (0-1). This is a team that normally achieves more positive results as a visitor than at home, having scored 20 points, scoring 30 goals and 20, and 15 points at the stadium with 18 goals scored and 10 goals conceded. For the championship, Atalanta won 15 points out of 30 after 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses in their last 10 games at their stadium. Defensive solidity has not been his strong point, having conceded goals in 7 of the last 10 games, but his attack has regularly scored as he has scored at least one goal in each of the last 10 matches in this competition. In 22 games in this competition, he suffered the first goal 11 times and only got 1 turn on the scoreboard.

Atalanta's team come to this round with a 0-1 victory on their visit to the Cagliari field, adding to their fifth consecutive match without losing in the Italian league: the only team goal was scored by Hans Hateboer. One of the problems of this club is in the home games, having won only 4 out of 10 games. In this match against fragile SPAL, coach Gian Piero Gasperini should keep the team 3-4-3 in favor of keeping possession of the ball and the attacks paused, especially through the sides. Duván Zapata is the great highlight of this team, since he is the best finisher with 15 goals scored. There are no major embezzles for this game.
Confirmed lineup: E. Berisha, J. Palomino, H. Hateboer, Rafael Tolói, T. Castagne, G. Mancini, A. Gómez, J. Iličić, R. Freuler, M. de Roon, D. Zapata.
Technical: G. Gasperini.

Analysis of SPAL
The visiting team is currently in 14th place with 22 points, after 5 wins, 7 draws and 10 losses. In the penultimate match, he won away to Parma by (2-3). In the last match, they tied at home to Torino by (0-0). This is a team little affected by the home factor, that is, it achieves practically the same points at home and away, with 9 goals scored and 12 goals conceded at home, against 10 goals scored and 18 conceded. In the league, SPAL won 7 points out of a possible 30 after 2 wins, 1 draw and 7 losses in their last 10 away games. The team allowed their opponents to score 7 of the last 10 games for this competition, so they have not been very strong defensively. In 22 games in this competition, he suffered the first goal 10 times and only got 1 turn on the scoreboard.

The SPAL team comes to this game with a 0-0 draw at the Torino reception, adding to their third straight game without losing in the Italian championship. Due to the difficulties experienced throughout the competition, the visiting club follows at the bottom of the leaderboard. Often coach Leonardo Semplici has three men in the defense, five in the midfield and two in the attack, with Petagna and Antenucci being the team's most advanced references. However, the great offensive weapon of this team is the offensive Lazzari, very fast and excellent player in the 1x1. For this game the coach does not have Felipe and Mohamed Fares, both suspended.
Confirmed lineup: E. Viviano, T. Cionek, K. Bonifazi, F. Vicari, F. Costa, M. Lazzari, J. Kurtič, M. Valoti, S. Missiroli, A. Petagna, A. Paloschi.
Technical: L. Semplici.