Atalanta - Valencia Football prediction

This pair is one of the weakest in the draw. Both teams are happy with CL draw, which give them both fair chance to qualify for quaterfinals. Atalanta this season commited 15,3 fouls per game, while suffered 12,6 fouls per game. Also across six group games, they've received 17 yellow cards (2,8 per game). Meanwhile, Valencia this season commited 8,8 fouls per game, while suffered 19,1 fouls per game. Additionally, across six group games, they've received 15 yellow cards (2,5 per game) and two red cards. As for Atalanta three players are at risk, if they receive caution they will miss next game those players are: defender B.Djimsiti, midfieldiers M.De Roon and J.Ilcic. Only player at risk for Valencia is midfielder D.Wass. The man in charge for tonight's game is english referee M.Oliver. This season in CL, he worked in three matches: Lokomotiv-Bayer 39 fouls and 5YC; Barcelona-Slavia 27 fouls and 8YC; Lyon-Zenit 19 fouls 5YC. His averages looks like that : 28,3 fouls per game, 6 yellow cars per game, 0,33 penalties per game.