Barcelona - Baskonia Basketball prediction

To class spanish duel is waitting for us today.
I prefer baskonia to win this match and to cover -1.5 handicap which gives good value with 2.11 odd.
Arguments: 
Firstly, Baskonia is on a perfect wave recenty. In their last five games they have beaten Zalgiris, bamberg, Valencia, Gran Canaria and Joventut. 
Good point, Basks have covered their handicaps in all five games.
Baskonia sees this games as extremely important to qulify to top 16.
Barcelona has no chances to qualify, so teams motivation is in a little bit different level.
As well Barca has some important players missing: Hanga , Sherapin, Sanders. As we can see it gives negative influence tio their permonace.
At he very end: nothing but Baskonia today.