Cincinnati Reds - Philadelphia Phillies Baseball prediction

This series in Cincinnati is tied 1-1. Both teams have won a game, yesterdays game was tied until the reds took the 8-5 lead. Today the Reds have the pitching advantage, Sony Gray will be in the mount today for the reds. Gray had an espectacular august, he had an 0.74 ERA over six games and managed to win 4 of them. Meanwhile the Phillies pitcher today will be Jason Vargas, he has a 6-7 record and is coming from his worst outing as a phillie were he gave up 5 runs and 9 hits over 4 innings. In my opinion Sony Gray is coming into a new month, september, the last month in regular season. This new month might mean Gray may fall and give up some hits and runs, the phillies have a really good batting rotation and they can hurt you. Today the phillies will score lots of runs, and even though the reds might score some too, they will loose by 2 or more runs.