Pick: Double Chance? Draw or Away
Odds: 2.34
Stake: 5/10
Cruzeiro and Santos are fighting at the Governador Magalhães Pinto Stadium, in a second-leg match of this phase of the Brazil Cup (Quarter-Finals), after the first leg the Cruzeiro have won by 0-1. The history of direct matches played at this stadium favors the home team, who in the last 5 games won 2, drew 2 and lost 1. However, in the last match in this stadium, for Serie A, 27-08-2017, the game ended in a 1-1 draw. The goals of the game were scored by Rafinha (56 ') for Cruzeiro and Bruno Henrique (21') for Santos. Special attention is required for the home / away condition, as both teams present significantly different results in their home and away games.
Cruzeiro Review
After the away win by (0-1), the home team reaches this second hand with a 1 goal lead. This is a team affected by the home factor, stronger when they play with the support of their fans, since in the last 30 games has recorded 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 losses as a visitor, with 13 goals scored and 10 conceded; against 10 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats in his stadium, with 26 goals scored and 9 conceded. The team arrives at this meeting after a defeat away with Flamengo by (1-0). In the last 10 home games for all competitions, Cruzeiro has won 7, drawn 2 and lost 1. Defensive solidity has not been their strong point, having conceded goals in 8 of the last 10 games but their attack has scored regularly, having scored goals in 7 of the last 10 games. In 15 games, he suffered the first goal 8 times and only managed 2 rounds. There has been a highlight in the last 20 home matches for all competitions: they conceded 4 of their 9 goals in the minutes (16'-30 ').
In this second game between the teams, in addition to play before their fans, Cruzeiro comes in advantage after winning the first game away from home by 0-1: highlight for Raniel who scored the only goal of the team and the game. In this second leg to count for the quarter-finals of the Brazilian Cup, coach Mano Menezes should opt for the 4-2-3-1, pointing out the defensive organization and attack together and accurately. In this drawing we highlight H. Boats, which should occupy the most advanced position. On the other hand, the highlight of this squad in the competition is Raniel with two goals scored. It is also important to remember that, despite arriving with a defeat against Flamengo in the Brazilian Championship, the coach classified it as a presumed risk, since the goal was to spare holders for this decisive match in the Brazilian Cup against Santos.
Analysis of Santos
After the home defeat in the first leg, the away team must recover from a 1-goal deficit in this decisive game as a visitor. This is a team affected by the home factor, stronger when played with the support of their fans, since in the last 30 games has recorded 2 wins, 5 draws and 8 losses as a visitor, with a total of 7 goals scored and 18 conceded; against 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 losses in his stadium, with a total of 23 goals scored and 13 conceded. The team arrives at this meeting after a defeat away with Atletico Mineiro by (3-1). In the last 10 matches played for all competitions, Santos won 1, drew 5 and lost 4. Defensive solidity has not been their strong point as they have conceded goals in 7 of their last 10 matches.
In this decisive match, besides playing outside their domains, Santos will have to reverse the disadvantage, as he knows that for the team, the team needs a draw to advance. In this second game between the teams the coach Cuca should choose 4-3-3, aiming at the defensive consistency and the attacks also through the flanks. In this drawing we highlight Bruno Henrique, Rodrygo and still Gabriel, all should occupy the most advanced positions. On the other hand, the highlight of this squad is due to the last mentioned, being the main finisher of this competition with three goals scored. It is important to emphasize that in the last commitment after defeat for Atletico-MG, the coach noted some shortcomings and at the same time lamented the arrival of foreigners in the second half. Also remembering that one of the main needs of this squad is the lack of a spearhead.
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