Espanyol - Real Valladolid Football prediction

Espanyol has an average of 27.5 fouls (13.8 committed and 13.7 triggered) prity level with 
today's rival Valladolid who has an average of 27 fouls (13.5 committed and 13.5 triggered), here is simple conclusion about odds 50/50 but if we look to last trend of host:

Espanyol - Huesca 9-16  
Espanyol - Rayo Vallecano 11-19  
Espanyol - Real Madrid 15-17  
Spanish - Leganés 10-17 

I assume there is a big chance that visitors with lack of ball possession will be eagle to commit more fouls than home side.