Pick: Under 4.5 Goals
Odds: 1.46
Stake: 5/10
Manchester City and Southampton meet at Etihad Stadium in a match of the 11th round of the Barclays Premier League. At this stage, the history of direct confrontations is favorable to the home team, which has 4 wins and 1 draw in the last 5 games. Indeed, the last time they met at this stadium was on 29-11-2017, in a game for the Barclays Premier League that ended with the victory of Manchester City by (2-1). The goals of the match were scored by K. De Bruyne (47 ') and R. Sterling (90') for Manchester City and Oriol Romeu (75 ') for Southampton. In this match the home factor can play an important role, since both teams present significant differences in the results achieved at home and as a visitor.
Manchester City Analysis
The home team is currently in 1st place with 26 points earned after 8 wins and 2 draws. In the penultimate match, he won home to Burnley by (5-0). In the last match, he won away to Tottenham by (0-1). This is a team that curiously has been stronger outside than at home, because in the last 30 games it registers 12 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss as a visitor; against 8 wins, 1 draw and 6 losses in his stadium. The team arrives at this meeting after a home win with Fulham by (2-0).
In this competition, he has won his last 5 matches at home and has not lost any of his last 10 matches. The defense has been in good shape and only conceded in 3 of the last 10 games, and his attack has regularly scored, as he has managed to achieve in 9 of the last 10 games in this competition. In his home games there is a tendency towards goals, since 22 of his last 28 games finished with More of 2.5 goals. The team did not usually find it difficult to open the scoring chart: they managed to score the first goal in 8 of the last 10 matches for the Barclays Premier League, 8 of which reached the lead in 7 and managed to keep the advantage until the end of the game.
Manchester City make an excellent campaign in the Premier League, is one of 3 unbeaten teams after 10 rounds and is looking for another positive result to stay in the lead, as there are some teams very close in scoring. The team is characterized by a great balance between the offensive and defensive sectors, since it scored 27 goals, being the best attack of the competition, and suffered only 3 tries, having the third defense less leaked, being a team that focuses on possession of ball and leaves little time for the opponent to reach his goal. Playing at home, like Sunday's match, Manchester City have won all five of their games, scoring 18 goals and conceding only 2, highlighting the enormous strength they have in front of their fans during the 90 minutes and still close well in defense. For the game against Southampton, coach Pep Guardiola has no problems with injuries or suspensions and can climb the best.
Analysis of Southampton
After 1 win, 4 draws and 5 losses, the visiting team is in 16th place, having won 7 points. In their last match, they drew 0-0 with Newcastle at home, having drawn 0-0 in a game against Bournemouth. This is a team that curiously has been stronger outside than at home, because in the last 30 games it registers 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 losses as a visitor; against 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 losses in his stadium. In the championship, the Southampton won 4 points in 15 possible, after 1 victory, 1 tie and 3 defeats in the last 5 games that played as a visitor.
For this competition, do not win makes 6 games. In 10 games in this competition, he suffered the first goal 4 times and never managed to turn the score. There are 1 highlights in the last 8 matches played as a visitor for all competitions: he suffered 3 of his 8 goals between the minutes (76'-90 ').
In the opposite direction of his next opponent, Southampton make a bad campaign in the Premier League, go through bad phase coming from 3 draws and 3 defeats and goes in search of recovery, since it has fallen very in the classification and is only 2 points of the relegation zone . The big problem has been the enormous offensive inefficiency, since he scored only 6 goals, having the second worst attack of the national, so much that he could not score 1 goal even in the last 5 rounds. Playing away from home such as this Sunday's match, Southampton have come from 2 losses and 1 draw and have not scored goals in these 3 games and no wonder has the second worst Premier League attack as a visitor. For the difficult game against Manchester City, coach Mark Hughes has no problems in the starting team and goes to the field with maximum strength.
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