Martin T. (Usa) - Aubin-Mercier O. (Can) MMA prediction

Tony Martin (12-3) jumped right into the deep end when he joined UFC, starting 1-3 against the likes of Rashid Magomedov, Beneil Dariush and Leonardo Santos. He has since fixed his lingering cardio issues and won three straight, including a decision over Johnny Case in June.
He stands three inches taller than Olivier Aubin-Mercier (9-2) at 6’0.”
Aubin-Mercier’s Judo prowess carried him to The Ultimate Fighter (TUF): “Nations” finals, where he dropped a split decision to teammate Chad Laprise. He went on to win five of his next six fights, the sole blemish a decision loss to Carlos Diego Ferreira, and earned four submission wins in the process.
All but one of his professional victories have come by tapout.
It looks to me as though Martin has finally gotten his shit together. He’s enormous for the weight class and can now parlay that size and strength into overpowering offense without draining his gas tank. More significant, he’s become a legitimate threat as a striker, which should be the key against Aubin-Mercier. “The Quebec Kid’s” stocky frame lends itself well to murderous clinch strength, but he’ll be giving up range to a crisper boxer who ostensibly has the strength and wrestling acumen to force protracted striking engagements. Were this the Martin who disintegrated halfway through the second round like clockwork, I’d favor Aubin-Mercier to wear him down in the clinch. Now, however, I see Martin outboxing him and shutting down his takedowns on his way to a decision victory.