Milan - Cagliari Calcio Football prediction

Milan and Cagliari meet at Stadio Giuseppe Meazza in a match for the 23rd round of Serie A TIM. The two teams tied (1-1) on 16-09-2018, the last time they faced each other in this edition of the league. At this stage, the history of direct confrontations is favorable to the home team, which has 3 wins in the last 3 games. In fact, the last time they faced in this stadium was in 08-08-2017, in a match for Serie A TIM that finished with the victory of Milan by (2-1). The goals of the match were scored by P. Cutrone (10 ') and Suso (70') for Milan and João Pedro (56 ') for Cagliari. In this match the home factor can play an important role, since both teams present significant differences in the results achieved at home and as a visitor.

Analysis of Milan
The home team is currently in 4th place with 36 points, after 9 wins, 9 draws and 4 losses. In the penultimate match, they drew at home to Napoli by (0-0). In the last match, he tied for Roma for (1-1). This is a stronger team when you play in your stadium, because in the last 30 games you have 4 wins, 8 draws and 3 losses as a visitor; against 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses in his stadium. For the championship, Milan won 18 points out of 30, after 5 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses in their last 10 matches at their stadium. In his home games there are some frequent scorers: 0-0 (4 in 11 matches) and 2-1 (4 in 11 matches). In 22 games in this competition, he suffered the first goal 6 times but managed to turn the score in 2.

The Milan team arrives in this game with a 1-1 draw at the visit to the Roma camp: the only goal of the team was scored by Piatek. Playing at home, the home club won 6 of 11 games. In this match against Cagliari, coach Gennaro Gattuso should keep the 4-3-3 with Calhanoglu, Suso and Piatek the most advanced pieces of the home team: the second player is Milan's best finisher with 5 goals scored. Zapata, Caldara, Bonaventura and José Reina remain out of the squad due to physical problems.
Analysis of Cagliari
After 4 wins, 9 draws and 9 losses, the visiting team is in 15th place, having won 21 points. In the last match, he lost with Atalanta at home (0-1), after having lost in the last match in a match against Sassuolo (3-0). This is a stronger team when you play in your stadium, because in the last 30 games you have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 losses as a visitor; against 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 losses in his stadium. In the championship, Cagliari won 6 points out of a possible 30 after 1 win, 3 draws and 6 losses in their last 10 games.

For this competition, you have not won any of the last 9 games outside of your stadium. In the games played as a visitor there are some more frequent results: at the end of the first 45 '1-0 (6 in 11 games) and at the end of the game 2-0 (4 in 11 games). Defensive solidity has not been his strong point, having conceded in 8 of the last 10 games for this competition. There is a tendency to have goals in their away games, as 10 of the last 11 matches they played for this competition ended with over 1.5 goals. In 22 games in this competition, he suffered the first goal 13 times and never managed to turn the board. In the last 11 away games for this competition there is 1 period that stands out: scored 3 of his 7 goals between minutes (76'-90 ').

Cagliari enter this round with a 0-1 defeat at Atalanta's reception, adding to their fourth straight game without winning the Italian championship. Their last win was against Genoa 1-0. Coach Rolando Maran has a goalkeeper at 3-5-2, stranding defending organization and quick attacks on both sides. On the other hand, João Pedro is the main organizer of the game, being this owner of great quality of pass and vision of game. Leonardo Pavoletti is the best finisher of Cagliari with 7 goals scored. For this game the coach can not count on Cacciatore, Birsa, Klavan, Castro and Bradaric, all injured.

Betting Tip:
The most likely scenario for this confrontation will be the victory of Milan. In this game it is anticipated that Milan dominates much of the game and has more opportunities to score goals due to the offensive quality they have in their collective. On the other hand, the Cagliari team presents some weaknesses in the defensive sector, which will be decisive for an outcome in favor of the home team. It is also worth mentioning that Milan is going through a moment of great confidence.