Roma - Porto Football prediction

Roma and Porto play at the Stadio Olimpico in a UEFA Champions League (Round of 16) match. These teams have only met twice recently: on 23-08-2016, ending with Porto winning by 0-3 and 17-08-2016, finishing with a 1-1 draw. In this match the home factor can play an important role, since Roma presents significant differences in the results achieved at home and as a visitor.

Analysis of Rome
The home team arrive at this stage of the UEFA Champions League (Round of 16), having finished the group stage in Group 2, with 9 points. This is a stronger team when you play in your stadium, because in the last 30 games you have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 losses as a visitor; against 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses in his stadium. The team arrives at this meeting after a win away with Chievo by (0-3). Roma won 6, drew 2 and lost 2 of their last 10 home games for all competitions. In his home games there is a tendency to score goals, as 24 of his last 26 games finished with over 1.5 goals and 18 of 26 finished with over 2.5 goals. In 15 games, he only managed 1 turn on the scoreboard in the 8 games in which he conceded the first goal.

Roma come to this game with a 0-3 victory on their visit to the Chievo field, returning victories after three straight games without a win: the team goals were scored by Dzeko, El Shaarawy and Kolarov. To reach the last 16 of the Champions League, the home team finished 2nd in Group G with 9 points. In this match against Porto, it is expected that coach Eusebio Di Francesco will play in the usual tactical system, namely the 4-2-3-1, benefiting possession of the ball and organized attacks: Cristante is a key player in the Italian team . Bosnian Edin Dzeko is the team's best finisher in official matches with 10 goals scored. For this game the coach can not count on Juan Jesus, Under, Perotti and Olsen, all with physical problems.
Port Analysis
The visiting team gained access to this phase of the UEFA Champions League (Round of 16) after the first place they won in Group D with a total of 16 points. This is a team that maintains the income when it plays outside its stadium, because in the last 30 games it registers 10 wins, 4 draws and 1 loss as a visitor; against 13 wins and 2 draws in his stadium. In the last game that disputed, for Liga Sagres, tied with Moreirense outside by (1-1). In the last 10 games as a visitor Porto won 7 and drew 3.

For this competition, it registers a sequence of 5 victories in the last games. Defensive solidity has not been his strong point, having conceded goals in 5 of the last 6 games, but his attack has regularly scored as he has scored at least one goal in each of the last 6 games for this competition. In 15 games, he managed to get back on the scoring in 4 of the 5 games in which he suffered the first goal. In the last 14 away games for all competitions there has been 1 period that stands out: suffered 4 of his 9 goals between minutes (31'-45 ').

Porto come to this game with a 1-1 draw at the Moreirense field, adding to the second game without a win: the only goal of the team was scored by Herrera. In this confrontation against Roma, the team led by Sérgio Conceição must appear with his lines recuadas, exploring in the best way the space on the back of the opponent: Brahimi is the main player in this type of transition. It is important to emphasize that the Porto demonstrates competence in the stopped balls, counter-attack and defensive organization. Moussa Marega is Porto's best finisher with 16 goals scored, however, is low for injury. In addition to this player, the coach does not have Aboubakar, Marius and Maxi Pereira, all with physical problems.