Roma - SPAL Football prediction

Roma and SPAL meet at the Stadio Olimpico in a match of the 9th round of Serie A TIM. In the last 3 years, there have been only 2 direct clashes between these two teams: one on 21-04-2018, which ended with Roma winning by 0-3 and the most recent one on 12-12-2017 finished with the victory of Rome by (3-1). In this match the house factor can play a decisive role, since SPAL has presented differences in performance in its games at home and as a visitor.

Analysis of Rome
After 4 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses, the home team is in 6th place, having won 14 points. In the last match, they beat Empoli by (0-2), after having won 3-1 in their last game against Lazio. This is a little affected by the home factor, that is, presents similar results at home and abroad, since in the last 30 matches has recorded 7 wins, 1 draw and 7 losses as a visitor, with 27 goals scored and 22 conceded, against 9 victories , 4 draws and 2 defeats at home, with 36 goals scored and 17 conceded. In the last four home games for the league, Roma have won 2 and drawn 2, drawing 8 points out of 12.

In this competition, you have not lost any of the last 4 games in your stadium. His attack has scored regularly as he has scored goals in 7 of the last 8 games in this competition.

Roma enter into this motivated game after a 0-2 away win on their visit to the Empoli field: Nzonzi and Dzeko scored the winning goal. Unlike the opponents of this match, the home club usually plays 4-3-3 with three players in front: El Shaarawy, Dzeko and Under, whose mission is to create dangerous moves on the opposing defense. Thus, Rome is expected to adopt a more offensive strategy in view of its superiority over the opponents of this round. The coach of the house will not be able to count on Perotti, Pastore, De Rossi and Kolarov for being injured.

Analysis of SPAL
After 3 wins and 5 losses, the visiting team is in 14th place, having won 9 points. In the last match, they lost to the Internazionale at home (1-2), having lost in a previous match against Sampdoria (2-1). This is a team affected by the home factor, stronger when played with the support of their fans, since in the last 30 games has recorded 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 losses as a visitor, with a total of 12 goals scored and 19 conceded. Already inside the home, he won 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses, with a total of 28 goals scored and 13 conceded. In the league, SPAL won 3 points out of 12 possible, after 1 win and 3 losses in their last 4 away games. In 8 games in this competition, he never managed to get back on the scoreboard in the 4 games in which he suffered the first goal. There have been 2 periods in the last seven matches played as a visitor for all competitions: he suffered 3 of his 6 goals between the minutes (46'-60 ') and 3 of his 6 between (16'-30').

SPAL enter this unmotivated round after a 1: 2 defeat at home to Inter. The visiting club usually plays on a tactical system in 3-5-2, favoring a more defensive style of play, attacking through the sidelines. SPAL is a team that likes to play in their midfield, with the goal of trying to surprise their opponent through counter-attack. When you invest in the offensive process, you usually do it on the left side, in order to take advantage of the depth offered by Fares. For this game coach Leonardo Semplici will not be able to rely on Federico Viviani for being injured.