Saggo J. (Can) - Burns G. (Bra) MMA prediction

Canada’s Saggo got off to a roaring UFC start with a dominant stoppage of Josh Shockley, only to lose a close decision to Paul Felder soon after. He righted the ship with a split decision over Leandro Silva, but came up short like so many other wrestlers against suplex master Rustam Khabilov last December. He has submitted eight opponents and knocked out another three.
“Durinho” brought a world-class BJJ pedigree into his UFC debut and rode it to three consecutive wins before running afoul of Rashid Magomedov in Brazil. He went on to submit Lukasz Sajewski, but came up short against an overweight Michel Prazeres two months later. His professional stoppages are split 7-3 between submissions and knockouts.
Burns has done well for himself in the UFC, but it’s hard not to feel disappointed in his progress. While Magomedov and Prazeres are beasts in their own rights and losing to them is no shame, this is a guy with one of the UFC’s strongest grappling résumés and a terrific striking instructor in Henri Hooft. He should have been on the fringes of the top ten by now.
He has to beat Saggo here if he wants to maintain his blue-chip status. The Canadian is a willing wrestler in his own right and will force Burns to demonstrate that he’s sufficiently rounded his game to challenge the lightweight elite. With everything Burns has going for him and the experience he gained in the loss to Prazeres, I’m leaning towards him wrapping up a rear naked choke midway through