Santos - Flamengo Football prediction

Santos and Flamengo are playing at Urbano Caldeira Stadium in a match for the 15th matchday of Serie A. Contrary to what might be expected, the record of recent direct matches is favorable to Santos, who in the last 9 matches won 4, drew 3 and lost 2. It is necessary to analyze with particular attention the home / outside condition, as Santos presents different results at home and abroad.

Analysis of Santos

The home team is currently in 15th place with 15 points, after 4 wins, 3 draws and 6 losses. In the penultimate game, tied at home against Palmeiras for (1-1). In the last, tied off against Chapecoense by (0-0). This is a team affected by the home factor, stronger when they play with the support of their fans, since in the last 30 games has recorded 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 losses as a visitor, with 8 goals scored and 17 conceded; against 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses in his stadium, with 26 goals scored and 14 conceded. For the championship, Santos had 10 points in 18 chances, after 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses in the last 6 games he played in his stadium. The team conceded goals in 8 of the last 10 games for this competition, so they have not been very strong defensively. In 13 games played in this competition, he never managed to get back to the marker in the 8 games in which he suffered the first goal. In the last 20 home games for all competitions there has been a season that stands out: suffered 6 of his 17 goals in the minutes (76'-90 ').

Santos is a club that has already won the Brazilian Championship Series A seven times throughout its history, being the most recent title conquered in 2004. In this year's Paulista Championship, the team was eliminated in the semifinals in the penalties by Palmeiras after a tie for 2x2 overall result. In Serie A of the Brazilian Championship, the team has tried to move away from the last classified, being today one point ahead of the first team inside the zone of relegation. In the last five games that Santos played as host, in four of them the team suffered one or more goals from their opponents. I believe that in this match the standard will be maintained, since Santos need to go to the attack after an important victory and thus it will leave spaces for the strong attack adversary to score their goals, something very probable also for the fragility of the Santista defense.

Analysis of Flamengo

After 9 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses, the visiting team is in 1st place, having won 30 points. In the last game, he beat Botafogo at home (2-0), having lost at home in a game against Sao Paulo (0-1). This is a team little affected by the house factor, that is, presents similar results at home and away, since in the last 30 games has recorded 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 losses as a visitor, with a total of 21 goals scored and 14 conceded; against 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats in his stadium, with a total of 22 goals scored and 6 conceded. The last visiting game for this competition ended with a 1-1 draw against Palmeiras. In the last 6 away games for the championship, Flamengo has 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss, so he has won 11 points out of 18. His attack has scored regularly, having scored goals in 9 of the last 10 games for this competition. This is a team that does not usually feel difficult to open the scoring: it scored the first goal in 11 of the last 14 matches for Serie A, of those 11 it reached the interval in advantage in 6 and managed to maintain the advantage until the end of 90 'in 9.

Flamengo is one of the biggest clubs in Brazilian football, there are five titles of the Brazilian Championship of the Series A, three Copas do Brasil, thirty-two titles of the Campeonato Carioca, a Libertadores and a World Cup. Currently in the 2018 season, Flamengo has made an excellent campaign, leading the Brazilian Serie A Championship with one more point than São Paulo. Flamengo's excellent campaign at Brasileirão is a lot due to his good performance as a visitor, Flamengo scored goals in every game he played as a visitor, which helped him get three wins, two draws in six games as a visitor, even in the match in which he lost, Flamengo also scored a goal, this pattern must be repeated.