Slovenia - Serbia Basketball prediction

Despite Jovic injury and some miracles Slovenia has already shown in this championship I believe Serbia is much more experienced team here that players had many important games already. Secondly, most of the players can play aggresive defense and they can switch and push opponent leaders as they were doing with Shved. I believe Slovenia would need to get a lot of luck one more time like they had with Spain (3 3pt shots dropped in of the board) to fight equally for the victory here till the last minute. I see probabily for Serbia 55-60% here and odds show value for me.