São Paulo - Chapecoense Football prediction

São Paulo and Chapecoense are playing at Cícero Pompeu de Toledo Stadium (Morumbi) in a match for the 19th matchday of Serie A. The history of direct matches played at this stadium favors the away team, which in the last 3 matches has won 1 and drawn 2. However, in their last match at this stage, in a match for Serie A on 07/31/2016, it was no more than a draw for (2-2). The goals of the game were scored by C. Cueva (61 'and 86') for Sao Paulo and Kempes (5 ') and Thiego (12') for Chapecoense. Special attention is required for the home / away condition, as both teams present significantly different results in their home and away games.

Analysis of São Paulo

The home team is currently in 1st place with 38 points, after 11 wins, 5 draws and 2 losses. In the penultimate game, won at home against Vasco da Gama by (2-1). In the latter, he won out against Sport Recife by (1-3). This is a stronger team when you play in your stadium, because in the last 30 games you have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 losses as a visitor; against 11 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeat in his stadium. The team arrives at this meeting after a defeat away with Colón by (5-3) in the tiebreak on penalties. For the championship, São Paulo had 20 points in 24 chances, after 6 wins and 2 draws in the last 8 games played in his stadium.

For this competition, you have not lost in your stadium for 8 games. In his home games there are some frequent results at the break: 1-0 (3 out of 8 matches) and 0-0 (3 out of 8 matches). His attack has scored regularly, having scored goals in 9 of the last 10 games for this competition. In the last 20 home games for all competitions there has been a period that stands out: he suffered 4 of his 11 goals between the minutes (76'-90 ').

São Paulo is a club that has already won the Brazilian Championship Series A six times throughout its history, being the most recent title won in 2008. In the current season, the team have made a good course, winning 38 of the 54 points played until now by the national competition, occupying the first position, with a point of advantage before the second position. In the last five games that São Paulo played at home for the Brazilian Championship, in none the team was defeated and in four of them the team from São Paulo scored more than 1.5 goals. I believe that in this match, taking advantage of his great moment and the home factor, São Paulo will be able to be superior to the opponent during the 90 minutes and will leave with another victory at home.

Analysis of Chapecoense

After 4 wins, 9 draws and 5 losses, the visiting team is in 13th place, having won 21 points. In the last game, they beat Corinthians at home (2-1), after having drawn 1-1 in a game against Sport Recife for (1-1). This is a team affected by the home factor, stronger when they play with the support of their fans, since in the last 30 games has recorded 1 win, 7 draws and 7 losses as a visitor, with a total of 12 goals scored and 24 conceded; against 7 wins, 6 draws and 2 defeats in his stadium, with a total of 19 goals scored and 12 conceded. In the last game he played for the Copa do Brasil, he lost with Corinthians at home (0-1). In the last 9 games out of the championship, Chapecoense has had 4 draws and 5 defeats, which has earned 4 points out of 27.

For this competition, you have not won any of the last 9 games outside of your stadium. In his league games as a visitor, the most frequent result at half-time was 0-0 (5 out of 9 matches). Defensive solidity has not been his strong point, having conceded goals in 7 of the last 10 games for this competition. In 18 games in this event, he suffered the first goal 7 times and only got 1 turnaround.

Chapecoense is a Santa Catarina club that has never won the Brazilian Serie A or Serie B title, its best run in Serie B was in 2013, when it was runner-up and reached a place for the elite of football Brazilian. The Chapecoense has three titles of the Santa Catarina Championship and in this year of 2018 was runner-up of Santa Catarina. The club gained international prominence in 2016 after the aerial tragedy, at the time Chapecoense received the South American title given by Atletico Nacional that gave up the cup. Chapecoense is currently the thirteenth position of the Brasileirão 2018 and playing away from home has had great difficulties in nine away games, lost five and drew four, failing to win any game.