Nice odds on Slovenia. I wrote about Turkey before, so won't repeat myself much, but I just dont see them as a deep enough team to rival serious teams, even at home.
Let't take a look at worst case scenario. Slovenia finishes 3rd in group and that matches them Italy/Israel/Georgia - all teams are beatable and 1/8 finals is very probable anyways. Turkey finishes 2nd in group and that matches them with Croatia or Montenegro - both teams with enough talent. Turkey can win, but I don't see them going furher afterwards.