Zalgiris - Efes Basketball prediction

First off all, I can see value taking Zalgiris spread because line is too short, should be - 4 or more.
Secondly, Efes this year is not solid enough because of lack of stability: a lot of naive behavior, each other misunderstanding.
So far, with 4 wins out of 8 zalgiris pleasing fans expectations(reminding about low budget) and playing quality game.
Furthermore, Sarunas Jasikevicius is concentrated on discipline and team work whats often a big advantage against undisciplined teams like Efes.
Conclusion: following recent situation Zalgiris is more than ready to beat -2.5.