Tip-off Time: Friday, 12.09.2025, 20:00 CET

Greece has done an excellent job at this EuroBasket, finishing first in a very tough Group C alongside Italy, Bosnia and Herzegovina, Spain, and Georgia. That gave them an easier path in the knockout stage, where they first eliminated Israel in the Round of 16 and then defeated Lithuania 76:76 in the quarterfinals. With that victory, they reached the semifinals of the European Championship for the first time in 16 years, guaranteeing themselves a chance to fight for a medal, whether in the final or the third-place game.

🏀 Prediction: Under 165 @1.8

Giannis Antetokounmpo has been the cornerstone of Greece’s team, averaging 30 points per game. Against Lithuania, he scored 29 points, including key free throws in the final moments. Vassilis Toliopoulos provided an unexpected scoring boost with 17 points in just 16 minutes.

The team as a whole struggled from three-point range. Greece’s outside shooting remains a concern. Dinos Mitoglou shot 2-of-7, Kostas Sloukas 3-of-7, and Tyler Dorsey 1-of-6, yet the team still advanced.

Kostas Antetokounmpo’s defensive presence with four blocks in the first half showed they can contain opponents in bursts. He and Giannis form a great rim protection which creates difficulties for opponents to score from the paint.

Turkey started the tournament as underdogs but quickly proved their potential. Their quarterfinal win over Poland 91:77 highlighted their depth and efficiency.

Alperen Sengun continues to impress, recording 19 points, 12 rebounds, and 10 assists in that game. He shows his ability to control tempo and create opportunities. Shane Larkin and Ercan Osmani provide perimeter and inside options.

Even if their shooting fluctuates, Turkey’s best shooting night came against Serbia, hitting 18-of-31 from three-point range. Greece’s inconsistent scoring and Turkey’s solid defense set the stage for a lower-scoring matchup.

Greece’s streak of wins over Turkey in previous meetings is notable, but the Greek team’s fluctuations make a tight game likely. With both teams showing some offensive inconsistency and strong defensive performances, the total is expected to stay under 165 points.

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Dalius Mikalauskas

Dalius Mikalauskas is a sports betting expert and sports writer at Stakehunters, with over 20 years of experience in the field. He specializes in basketball, football, tennis, and other online sports betting markets. Dalius also has a long history as a professional poker player, spending thousands of hours playing live poker in cities like Las Vegas, London, and Paris. In recent years, he has developed a strong interest in crypto betting, combining it with his deep knowledge of online sports betting. In his free time, Dalius enjoys running marathons, showing the same determination in life as he does in his work.

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