This article provides a preview of the Turkey vs Sweden EuroBasket 2025 matchup, including our top value betting prediction. The game tips off on Saturday, 6 September 2025, at 11:00 AM CET, with Turkey entering as one of the tournament’s strongest sides and Sweden advancing despite a tough group stage.

🏀 Prediction: Turkey -18 Handicap @1.8

Turkey arrived at this EuroBasket as something of a dark horse. Many questioned what kind of team they would field and whether they had sufficient shooting in the backcourt, but Ergin Ataman’s squad quickly silenced all doubts. Their performances in the group stage demonstrated that they have the talent and depth to compete for a medal. Turkey defeated Latvia, Estonia, Portugal, the Czech Republic, and their toughest group-stage opponent – Serbia. Finishing with a perfect 5-0 record, they advanced comfortably to the round of 16, where they are guaranteed not to face another team that also finished first in its group.

Alperen Sengun came remarkably close to a triple-double in one matchup, and in a direct duel with Nikola Jokic, he posted 28 points, 13 rebounds, and eight assists. Shane Larkin contributed 23 points against Serbia while logging 39 minutes, showing his excellent preparation, and Cedi Osman has been playing the best basketball of his career since returning to Europe from the NBA last year. With reliable pieces like point guard Kenan Sipahi, sharpshooter Furkan Korkmaz, and versatile big man Adem Bona, along with Ercan Osman, it is clear that Turkey’s roster is deeper and more balanced than many expected before the tournament.

Sweden entered EuroBasket with a clear objective: advance to the second round from Group B. Facing tough opposition, they finished the group stage with a 1-4 record, only defeating Great Britain while falling to Germany, Finland, Montenegro, and Lithuania. Despite their struggles, Sweden managed to secure fourth place thanks to their point differential against Montenegro and Great Britain.

The Swedish team has shown flashes of promise against every opponent, but they often lacked the strength and, most importantly, the consistent quality to close out games. A prime example was their match against Finland, where they led late but allowed the hosts to capitalize on a lapse in concentration to snatch victory. It is clear that for Sweden to have any chance against Turkey, every player would need to perform at their absolute best.

Turkey, by contrast, boasts a phenomenal roster and completed the group stage undefeated, highlighted by their impressive win over Serbia in their final group match. With three standout leaders in Alperen Sengun, Shane Larkin, and Cedi Osman, supported by a deep and talented squad, Turkey is heavily favored. Considering Sweden’s limitations and Turkey’s firepower, a comfortable and convincing win for Turkey appears highly likely. Therefore we recommend checking out best betting sites to get bonuses on first deposit and place the bet with the best odds.

❗This prediction is for guidance only, and we are not responsible for your bets.

Dalius Mikalauskas

Dalius Mikalauskas is a sports betting expert and sports writer at Stakehunters, with over 20 years of experience in the field. He specializes in basketball, football, tennis, and other online sports betting markets. Dalius also has a long history as a professional poker player, spending thousands of hours playing live poker in cities like Las Vegas, London, and Paris. In recent years, he has developed a strong interest in crypto betting, combining it with his deep knowledge of online sports betting. In his free time, Dalius enjoys running marathons, showing the same determination in life as he does in his work.

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