科莫 vs 罗马 赛果预测与投注建议（2026年10月11日）

目录

• Fourteen Goals in Five Games for Gasperini
• Como Have Played at Home Only Once
• Five Meetings, No Draws
• Over 2.5 Goals at 1.62: Why We're In
• Is Roma Draw No Bet at 1.83 the Smart Way In?

Gian Piero Gasperini’s Roma have scored 14 and conceded 3. They opened with a 4-0 home win over Fiorentina and a 4-0 at Lecce, then beat Atalanta 2-1 and won 2-0 at Torino.

The only slip came in the last round before the break. Roma led Inter 2-0 and drew 2-2. That tells you two things: they create chances against good sides, and they can still be got at.

Roma have scored at least twice in every league game this season. Four of their five have gone over 2.5 goals.

Cesc Fabregas’s side have done most of their work on the road. They drew 1-1 at Udinese, won 2-1 at Napoli and 4-1 at Genoa, and beat Parma 2-1 in their only home game so far. Then they lost 2-0 at Frosinone on 20 September.

That is nine goals in five games, with Como scoring in four of them. Three of their five matches went over 2.5.

The team news is less kind. Moise Kean is reported out and Nico Paz is a doubt after returning late from international duty. For Roma, Balerdi has shaken off a knock and Malen is fit.

• 15 Mar 2026, Serie A: Como 2-1 Roma

• 15 Dec 2025, Serie A: Roma 1-0 Como

• 2 Mar 2025, Serie A: Roma 2-1 Como

• 15 Dec 2024, Serie A: Como 2-0 Roma

• 25 Jan 2003, Serie A: Como 2-0 Roma

In March, Malen put Roma ahead from the spot after seven minutes. Como hit back through Douvikas and Diego Carlos to win 2-1. Como have won three of these five, Roma two.

At 1.62 the bookies give this about a 62% chance. We have it higher. Seven of the ten league games these two have played this season went over 2.5 goals.

Roma are averaging 2.8 goals a game and Como 1.8. Neither side sits back. Roma scored twice against Inter and still let two in, while Como put four past Genoa and two past Napoli away from home.

Under 2.5 is 2.30, so the market already leans our way. We’d still take 1.62 without thinking twice.

Draw No Bet gives you your stake back if it finishes level. At 1.83 the implied chance is about 55%. Roma are unbeaten in five, and Como come into this off a 2-0 defeat at Frosinone.

We prefer this to Roma at 2.60 straight. The worry is the venue: Como won the last two meetings at the Sinigaglia, 2-0 in December 2024 and 2-1 in March. That is why this is a 6 and not an 8.

What pushes us towards Roma is Kean’s absence and the gap in output. Roma have conceded three goals in five games. Como have conceded six and now lose a striker.

That is our Como vs Roma prediction. Over 2.5 goals at 1.62 is the stronger play, and Roma 平局不计 at 1.83 is the second bet. Roma go to Lake Como looking to stay top, and we expect both sides to go for it.