Spanien gegen England – Prognose und Wetttipps: UEFA Nations League, 15. November 2026

One game, one group title, and no room for error. Spain host England at the Metropolitano Stadium on Sunday in a straight shootout for first place in Nations League Group 3. Both sides have already booked their quarter-final spots. A draw is enough for Spain to finish top, while England need a win to steal first place.

⚽ Spain vs England Prediction: Over 2.75 Goals @1.72

Thomas Tuchel’s side did the job on Thursday, but it wasn’t pretty. Morgan Rogers scored a scrappy opener and Harry Kane added a penalty in a 2-1 win over Croatia at Wembley. Petar Sucic struck in between after a Jarell Quansah mistake.

It was still a big night for Kane. The Ballon d’Or winner became England’s record appearance maker with his 126th cap.

The maths is simple for the visitors. Any England win sends them top, thanks to a goal difference of +12 against Spain’s +9. A win by two goals or more also gives them the head to head edge.

Luis de la Fuente’s men are the only League A team with five wins from five. They beat the Czech Republic 2-0 with goals from Alex Baena and Marc Pubill. They did it without Lamine Yamal, Mikel Oyarzabal and Nico Williams.

Spain are unbeaten in 43 games across all competitions. Their last defeat came against Colombia in a March 2024 friendly. They also beat England 3-2 at Wembley only weeks ago.

Yamal and Oyarzabal are expected back in the squad. Williams is fighting a virus, and Aymeric Laporte is also a doubt. England welcome back Myles Lewis-Skelly from suspension, and Ezri Konsa should return too.

Goals look like the smartest angle in this clash. Spanien have scored at least twice in each of their last five matches. England have netted multiple goals in six straight games in all competitions.

Recent meetings between these rivals back that up. Spain won 3-2 at Wembley a few weeks ago. England’s last win over La Roja in 2018 finished with the same score.

Die meisten beste Buchmacherseiten make Spain clear favourites, but the goals market offers better value. Over 2.75 goals at 1.72 pays in full with four or more goals and returns half the profit with exactly three. England must attack to win the group, and Spain will not sit back with Yamal and Oyarzabal returning.

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