Benin - Central African Republic

Based on my analysis, I’ve just identified a +11.87% edge on a straight win for Benin (1), offered at 1.66. Influenced by the neutral venue (the match is being played in Abidjan) and Steve Mounié’s absence, some bookmakers are keeping the odds for the Cheetahs above 1.60, even though the actual probability exceeds 67%. All structural indicators confirm Benin’s superiority: • The Cheetahs’ collective strength in Abidjan. Undefeated in Group F (4 points earned against Burkina Faso and Mauritania), Benin is well-established at Félix Houphouët-Boigny Stadium and displays significantly superior tactical discipline under Gernot Rohr. • The Central African Republic’s decline and key absences. With 0 points, 8 losses in its last 10 matches, and the simultaneous absences of two key starters (Isaac Solet and Vénuste Baboula), the Central African Republic faces too great an athletic and technical deficit to hold out for 90 minutes