Colombia - Chile

Colombia are at home in Cali and close to full strength. Luis Diaz is the one genuinely big miss through injury, and another midfielder drops out hurt as well, but the spine of the team is intact. Munoz, Davinson Sanchez and Lucumi hold the back line together, Lerma sits in front of them, and Arias and Asprilla give them enough invention to break a low block. Lorenzo has had this group together for years, and they left the summer tournament with real credit after going out in the round of sixteen on penalties. Chile are somewhere else entirely. There is an interim at the helm and the brief has clearly been to look at the next generation, so the familiar veteran names that carried this team for a decade are simply not in the squad. The results have followed: four defeats in their last six, including one game where they shipped four goals and another where they shipped four again. A defender is already out with an ankle injury and another picked up a knock in training this week, which does not help a back line that was struggling anyway. Their last competitive meeting finished 4-0 to Colombia, and Chile have not beaten them in seven years. Asking the hosts to win by two is a real ask with Diaz watching from home, but the gap in quality is wide and the quarter line hands half the stake back if Colombia only manage a one goal win.