West Ham United - Leeds United
West Ham -0.5,-1.0 at 1.975 is a Tier B value position. The price implies around 50.6%, against a realistic working range of 51.5–54.5% and a displayed midpoint of 53.0%. That leaves a playable +4.7% edge without requiring an aggressive projection.
The match profile depends on West Ham establishing territory and forcing Leeds into deeper phases. Margin development can come through a narrow home win or a later chasing state that opens the second goal. Fragility sits in West Ham being blunt in possession or Leeds keeping the match chaotic enough to protect the draw. The split handicap and price justify a controlled 3/10 units allocation.
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