Tuesday’s hosts haven’t been getting the desired results of late, but some of their attacking efforts suggest that it won’t be long before they’re back in the winner’s enclosure. Last time out at home, they were unlucky not to beat a very strong Doncaster side, as they recorded an impressive 2.88 expected goals for and conceded just 0.88 at the other end. What’s more, Jackett’s men have considerably outperformed their opponents in terms of expected goals in each of their last ten at home, while they’re now averaging an expected goal difference of +1.17 on home soil.
While Portsmouth have looked a very dangerous outfit at Fratton Park, Bristol Rovers have struggled to get going offensively on their travels. Tuesday’s visitors have scored in four of their last five on the road, but they’ve failed to find the net in a rather chunky 40% of their travelling matches during the current campaign, while they’re averaging just 0.99 expected goals for. Such a poor figure doesn’t bode well ahead of this match.
Furthermore, the visitors have struggled massively away against the top sides, as they’ve lost each of their four away games against teams currently inside the top six. They conceded seven goals in those four matches, scored just two in reply and were easily bettered in terms of expected goals on each occasion.we think over 0.5 goals wil be seen in this game.