Spain - Croatia

Spain arrive in Sevilla as world champions and without a defeat in regulation for well over two years, so nobody is arguing with the short price on the outright. The question is the margin, and that is where this line looks beatable. Croatia still have Luka Modric and Mateo Kovacic to slow a game down and take the crowd out of it, with Josko Gvardiol and Ivan Perisic adding plenty of tournament mileage behind them. They also come in on the back of a 2-1 win over the Czechs under a new manager, so the mood in that camp is fine. Worth remembering as well that Spain needed a 3-2 result at Wembley in the opening round and conceded twice getting there, which is hardly the profile of a side that blows good opponents away. A goal and three quarters of cover is the sensible way into a fixture between two teams who know each other far too well to produce a rout.