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Atletico Madrid - Real Madrid
Spain - La Liga
Pick
Atletico Madrid +0.5
Odds
@1.91
Stake
6/10
Published 2026-09-18 20:11:04
Starts 2026-09-20 17:15:00
Atletico Madrid - Real Madrid Betting Tip:
The first Madrid derby of the season arrives with the hosts in a far better mood than they were a fortnight ago. A three nil beating at Athletic Bilbao and a defeat at Anfield had all the usual questions flying around the Metropolitano, and the answer has been blunt: three nil against Real Sociedad, then four nil away at Osasuna. That is seven goals scored and none conceded across two games, which is the version of this team that makes the derby uncomfortable for anyone.
Real Madrid come in second in the table and unbeaten in the league, but they have not exactly been cruising. It took a stoppage time winner at Elche to leave with three points last weekend, and their defensive line has been asked plenty of questions already this season.
Two things keep this from being a bigger call. The fitness room is busy, with muscle problems for Julian Alvarez, Pablo Barrios and Alexander Sorloth all needing late checks, and Alvarez in particular is the one who turns a broken counter into a goal. Real have also won three of the last five between them. Even so, this fixture at this ground is almost always tight and low on clear chances, the draw is a very real result, and the half goal start covers it at a fair price.
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