FIFA World Cup 2026 Prediction: Spain vs Belgium (2026-07-10)

Spain have not conceded a single goal through five straight matches at this World Cup. Belgium arrives in Los Angeles full of confidence after thumping co-hosts USA 4-1 in the round of 16.

⚽ Spain vs Belgium Prediction: Spain to win and over 7.5 total corners @2.17

Spain have allowed just five shots on target across their entire tournament run. Their center back pairing of Aymeric Laporte and Pau Cubarsi has shut down every attack thrown at them so far.

Rodri and Pedri control the midfield battle better than almost anyone left in the competition. Belgium’s direct attacks rank fifth in the tournament, but none of them have produced a goal yet.

Losing Amadou Onana to a season ending ACL injury only adds to Belgium’s problems in midfield. That absence forces Rudi Garcia into a more cautious setup against a Spain side built for patient possession play.

Belgium beat the United States 4-1, but two of those goals came from bad defending rather than real quality. Their round of 32 win over Senegal also came with plenty of luck, including two shots off the woodwork against them.

Charles De Ketelaere and Leandro Trossard looked sharp against a USA team that barely showed up. Spain will not offer that same space, having conceded just 1.49 expected goals across the whole tournament.

Romelu Lukaku remains a threat off the bench, scoring in three straight World Cup games as a substitute. He sits one goal behind Roger Milla’s all time substitute scoring record at the tournament.

Spain have hit at least six corners in every single match this summer. Their corner counts read seven, nine, six, six, and eleven across five games so far.

Expect Spain to dominate the ball again here, which usually translates into a heavy corner count. Belgium have also shipped plenty of corners themselves, conceding seven against Egypt and five against New Zealand.

Spain’s suffocating possession style naturally produces high corner totals, and their recent numbers back that up clearly. Belgium sit deep and defend in numbers, which often leads to desperate clearances and extra corners for the attacking side.

Lamine Yamal looks close to full fitness after playing 90 minutes against Portugal, adding another attacking outlet down the right. His pace against Belgium full back Maxim De Cuyper should create chances and pressure that leads to set pieces.

This prediction combines two separate outcomes into one bet on the best bookmaker sites. It means Spain must win the match, and the two teams combined must produce more than 7.5 corners, both parts need to hit for the bet to pay out.

❗This prediction is for guidance only. We are not responsible for your bets.