Previous Tips
Lietuvos rytas spread -13.5 @ 1.91

Many books still have same line, Vytautas is on short rotation and still searching for their rhythm. I believe Lietuvos rytas will offer them aggresive defense same as Neptunas did and I expect similar scenario - Lietuvos rytas should run in second half as its different level teams this season. Line too short for me there.
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Ogre spread -10.5 @ 1.93

Hi
This year Valmiera has mainly young players on a team and its not the same we were used to see last two seasons with good performances. Meanwhile Ogre is much stronger - started the season with 3 wins including unexpected one with Vef Riga, team is emotionally high and playing at home today. Market already started moving to Ogre side, seems spread is still a bit too short there and I expect Ogre to win in double digit.
Good Luck!
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Naetsved spread -5.5 @ 1.90

Svendborg team lost few key players from last year and looks much weaker as they used to be, at least on paper. On the season beginning I think there is a value on a home team and I try my luck with at least smaller stake there.
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Neptunas spread -10.5 @ 1.93

Vytautas is weak this season and having slow start there, can't find their rhythm so far. Neptunas is opposite, having big emotional wave after win against Zalgiris, also having new american joined the team and Delininkaitis might play after his injury too. Much better rotation on Neptunas side, more balanced team and I expect them to win in double digit.
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Kyoto Hannaryz spread -4.5 @ 1.92

The beginning of the season here, early line and same fixture as usually in Japan second day in a row. First fixture line was moving on Kyoto and they won 80-62, now same fixture with low line from bookmakers again. I believe Kyoto will cover again as they look strong now.
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Polkowice -4.5 @ 1.92

Polkowice is even stronger than they were last season and has 4 WNBA players in total, meanwhile slovakian budget as they say is 2-3 times smaller and overall they have no chances to promote there.
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Maccabi Tel Aviv To Win @ 2.45

Olympiacos will play today without leaders Printezis and Spanoulis, price is dropping in the market for Maccabi and I see this game about 50/50 coinflip with current squads and the odds are showing value in Maccabi side.
Cheers!
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Vytautas spread -3.5 @ 1.94

Hello
This is Basketball Champions League game, though I didn't find that league in the list.
For me Vytautas didn't deserve underdog name in this pair but it was like this in the first away in Holland where they still manage to win in close game. Second game is at home and usually Vytautas is a home team that shows better quality basketball at home. Donar team lost two key players from last season (33 pts ave per both) and I believe they still need time to get in the rhythm. My line would be about Vytautas -7.5 here.
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Nevezis spread -7.5 @ 1.85

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Cherno More Varna Spread -2.5 @ 1.90

Seems Cherno More has stronger squad this year and the line been moving to their side since the opening. I believe they are stronger side there and the game lines were created according last year results. A lot of guessing here, but I go with Cherno side.
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Dzukija Spread +21.5 @ 1.85

First game of the season and I feel Zalgiris is still in preparation phaze as Euroleague just start after a month, few players just joined the team a week ago and Micic still will not play I guess. Dzukija started preparation earlier and they play at home. Knowing history of Zalgiris how they begin LKL season, I believe Dzukija will have some advantage here I don't believe they will loose more than 20. My line for this game is Dzukija +16.5
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Serbia To Win @ 2.11

Despite Jovic injury and some miracles Slovenia has already shown in this championship I believe Serbia is much more experienced team here that players had many important games already. Secondly, most of the players can play aggresive defense and they can switch and push opponent leaders as they were doing with Shved. I believe Slovenia would need to get a lot of luck one more time like they had with Spain (3 3pt shots dropped in of the board) to fight equally for the victory here till the last minute. I see probabily for Serbia 55-60% here and odds show value for me.
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Greece spread -1 @ 2.05

Russia is playing well in this championship so far showing quite good attacking basketball and good teamwork, but despite looking terrible in the group I believe Greece will show their experience here again and will advance to final 4. Greek guards like Calathes or Mantzaris I believe are able at least halfly stop Shved. Also they are a team that can play really tough in important battles and they have so many experience of do or die matches. All in all I see Greeks as a small favs like 60%-40% here and with current odds I see value in Greece.
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Total under 156.5 @ 1.96

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Total over 167 @ 1.95

Iceland was showing very very fast pace so far in the championship and allowed more than 100 pts last two games. I believe Finland will join them on a fast tempo game and will have many good opportunities to have good 3pt shots this game. I believe we will not see so much defense this game again with many short positions and 3pt shots.
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Lithuania Spread -6 @ 1.90

I believe Germany leaders are a bit already tired and Lithuania is just catching good wave physically and emotionally. Much more weapons on Lith side and I believe spread is few pts too short.
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Total under 150.5 @ 1.92

Hi
Montenegro was showing a very defensive and tough basketball in first two games while Croatia was searching for itself offensively and despite Croatia won both games the opponents were much lover and Croatia didn't show a productive performance. The game is very important for Montenegro. I believe there we will see a tough Balkan game with a lot of contact and this will lead to under. Seems its quite hard for Croatia to show same fast pace basketball that we seen in friendlies before championship.
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Germany spread -3 @ 1.88

Israel is not showing enough patience and their performance is not good this in championship so far. Germany just had bad first game against Ukraine, but their form and tempo against Georgia was good. I believe Germany has better bench and more deep in the squad also I don't see who could stop Shroder from Israel team. Also Theis and Voigtmann will have some advantage in paint grabbing rebounds. All in all I see Germany better team here.
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Total over 150 @ 1.92

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Argentina Spread +9 @ 1.90

Argentina is really having decent squad in this championship and USA is nothing very special. Looking at the results USA had easy opponents and they already had some problems with Uruguay which is more weak than Argentina. Also Argentina crashed Virgin Islands more easy than USA. All in all I see it as a close game for the final.
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Lithuania win @ 1.34

Warning: wrong odds edited
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Total over 153.5 @ 1.93

Today we have seen both these teams having offense orientated games and I believe tomorrow will be the same. Belgium was used to be defensive team, but seems at the end of preparation and today team is pushing the tempo so much and we all know Latvia love to do the same with fast and mobile center on the court. Both teams can shoot 3pt shots really good and I expect total in this game about 160.
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Russia to win @ 2.38

Turkey is missing Ilyasova this championship and main pg Dixon is facing health problems before championship, his form is questionable. Team is young with many young players on the roster. I believe home court is the only advantage of this Turkey team and russia with Shved and Mozgov in front and some good physical players like Fridzon or Vorontsevich will take this turkish stake there. I see game about 50/50 and with these odds I take Russia to win.
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Latvia @ 15.00

Serbia has lost Teodosic, Nedovic and Kalinic and with current odds they are much overvalued. Dixon is having health problems for Turkey and this year I don't believe in Turkey too, cause the squad is too young to achieve big victories despite home court in group. Russia for me is a lower talent team this year than Latvia. All in all, I see Latvia real odds about 5.00-6.00
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over 147 @ 1.94

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