Grêmio win @ 1.43
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Outcomes:
Draw - Full return in the event that actually happened. (e.g. the wager is returned in an Asian handicap bet)
Void - bet where the wager is returned. There are plenty of reasons why bets are voided, for instance if a match was cancelled, a player did not play etc. A void bet should not be confused with draw (event result = @1) in Asian handicap bets even if both terms result in the same thing, the return of the wager.
1/2 Win - Half the wager is a winning bet and half is a push in an Asian handicap bet.
1/2 Lost - Half the wager is a losing bet and half is a push in an Asian handicap bet.
Grêmio and Bahia play at the Grêmio Arena in a match of the 28th round of the Brasileirão Serie A. In the last confrontation between these teams in this competition, on 03-06-2018, Grêmio won away by (0-2). At this stage, the history of direct confrontations is favorable to the home team, which has 2 wins and 1 draw in the last 3 games. In fact, the last time they faced in this stage was in 13-06-2017, in a game by Brasileirão Series A that finished with the victory of the Grêmio by (1-0). The only goal of the match was scored by Bruno Cortez (86 '). In this match the home factor can play an important role, since both teams present significant differences in the results achieved at home and as a visitor.
Grêmio Analysis
After 14 wins, 8 draws and 5 losses, the home team is in 4th place, having won 50 points. In the last match, he beat Fluminense by 0-1, having won 3-2 at home against Ceará in the previous game. This is a team affected by the home factor, the stronger when you play in front of your fans, since in the last 30 matches you have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 losses as a visitor, with 12 goals scored and 9 conceded, against 11 wins, 3 draws and 1 home defeat, with 29 goals scored and 8 conceded. In the last game that played, for the Copa Libertadores of America, won Atletico Tucumán at home by (4-0). In the last 10 home games for the championship, Grêmio has 8 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss, having won 25 points out of 30.
In this competition, you have not lost in your stadium for 9 matches. In their domestic league games the most frequent marker in the break was 0-0 (6 in 14 matches). His attack has scored regularly, as he has scored goals in 8 of the last 10 games in this competition. In 27 games in this competition, he suffered the first goal 7 times and only got 2 turns on the scoreboard.
Grêmio is a club that throughout its history has two titles of Serie A of the Brazilian Championship, besides having five titles of the Glass of Brazil and three of the Glass Liberators, conquered for the last time last year. In the current season, the team has been making a good campaign within the national championship, winning 50 of 81 points so far, thus being among the first placed, with a score very close to the leader of the competition. In the last nine games that Grêmio played as host, counting only the national championship, in addition to not losing any, in seven of them Grêmio scored more than 1.5 goals against the opponents. I believe that in this confrontation, Grêmio will be able to score the opponents again, since they are playing at home.
Analysis of Bahia
After 7 wins, 9 draws and 11 losses, the visiting team is in 14th place, having won 30 points. In the last match, they drew with Flamengo at home (0-0), after their previous match lost out in a game against Vasco by (2-1). This is a team affected by the home factor, stronger when played with the support of their fans, since in the last 30 games has recorded 2 wins, 4 draws and 9 defeats as a visitor, with a total of 9 goals scored and 18 conceded. Already inside the home, he won 6 wins, 7 draws and 2 losses, with a total of 18 goals scored and 11 conceded. In the last game he played for the South American Bridgestone Cup, he beat Botafogo away (4-5) in the tie-break. In the last 10 away games for the championship, Bahia has 1 win, 3 draws and 6 defeats, having won 6 points out of 30. In his games as a visitor there are some frequent results: at 0-0 intervals (6 in 13 matches) and at the end of the match 2-0 (5 in 13 matches). The team allowed their opponents' goals in 7 of the last 10 games for this competition, so they have not been very strong defensively. In 27 games in this competition, he suffered the first goal 14 times and never managed to turn the score. There are 2 periods in the last 13 matches played as a visitor for this competition: scored 3 of his 6 goals in the minutes (76'-90 '); suffered 7 of his 20 goals in minutes (31'-45 ').
Bahia is a club that has two titles of the Brazilian Championship of the Series A, the last one in 1988, in addition the club has seven titles of the Baiano Championship and still was winner of the Northeast Cup in 2017. In this year of 2018, Bahia was champion of Bahia and has been competing in the Brazilian Championship Series A of 2018, where he is currently the fourteenth. Bahia played for the Copa Sudamericana this past Wednesday (03) and most likely will play with a mixed team as they will be with several players worn out for this match against Grêmio. Even if he is with the starting team, Bahia would have a great inferiority to Grêmio, because Bahia have played bad games away from home, as we analyzed their last five games for Brasileirão away from home, we see that the team lost four and won one , showing that he has been a poor visitor.
Betting Tip:
In this game between Grêmio and Bahia, I believe that the main team has a wide advantage and has everything to win, since Grêmio has three consecutive wins and Bahia has been a poor visitor, losing four of the last five away games, so my bet for this game is "Victory of the Guild".