Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.61
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Santos and Grêmio meet at the Paulo Machado de Carvalho Municipal Stadium in a match for the 23rd round of the Brasileirão Serie A. Grêmio won at home (5-1) last time they faced each other in this edition of the league on 06- 05-2018. The history of recent direct clashes is favorable to the visiting team, which has 4 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss in the last 8 games. Although this is a game between 9º and 4º of the overall classification, it is actually a game between the 15th placed in home games and the 3rd as a visitor.
Analysis of Santos
The home team is currently in 9th place with 27 points, after 7 wins, 6 draws and 8 losses. In the penultimate match, he won at home to Bahia by (2-0). In the last match, he won out to Vasco by (0-3). This is a stronger team in their stadium, where they won 17 points, against only 10 in their games as a visitor. For the championship, Santos won 17 points out of 30 after 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses in their last 10 games at their home stadium. His attack has scored regularly, as he has managed to achieve in 7 of the last 10 games in this competition. In 21 games in this competition, he suffered the first goal 12 times and never managed to turn the score.
Santos is a club that has won the Serie A of the Brazilian Championship seven times throughout its history, being the most recent title conquered in 2004, besides a title of the Brazil Cup and three of the Copa Libertadores. In the current season, the team has been making a very irregular campaign, winning only 27 of the 63 points played so far by the national competition, thus being close to the relegation zone, four points in front of the sixteenth place, and far from the first placed. In the last five games that Santos played as principal for Serie A of the Brazilian Championship, in four of them were scored less than 1.5 goals in the first half. I believe that in this match the pattern will repeat itself, since Santos will face a team with a very strong defensive sector, but that does not score many goals as a visitor.
Grêmio Analysis
The visiting team is currently in 4th place with 40 points earned after 11 wins, 7 draws and 4 losses. In the penultimate match, he lost out to Atlético-PR by (2-1). In the last match, he won at home to Botafogo by (4-0). This is a stronger team in their stadium, where they won 25 points, against only 15 in their games as a visitor. In the league, Grêmio won 15 points in 30 chances, after 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses in the last 10 games they played as a visitor. In the matches played out in the league, the most frequent result at the end of the first 45 'was 0-0, which occurred in 5 of his 12 matches. His attack has scored regularly, as he has managed to achieve in 9 of the last 10 games in this competition. In his away games there is a tendency towards few goals, since 8 of his last 10 matches in the competition finished with Less than 2.5 goals. In 22 games in this competition, he only managed 1 turn in the scoring in the 5 games in which he suffered the first goal. In the last 10 away games for this competition there is 1 period that stands out: scored 3 of his 8 goals between the minutes (0'-15 ').
Grêmio is a club that has won two titles of the Brazilian Championship of the Series A, being the most recent title conquered in 1996, in addition, the Grêmio has five titles of the Glass of Brazil and three of Glass of the Liberators, having been champion of the Glass Libertadores in 2017 and having reached the FIFA Club World Cup final and being runner-up, losing to Real Madrid 1x0. In the current season of the Brazilian Championship Series A, the team has been making a good campaign, is the current fourth placed, we see that Grêmio lost their last away game for Atletico Paranaense, but Grêmio played with a mixed team, because is playing in parallel to the Copa Libertadores.
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