Pick: Double Chance? Draw or Away
Odds: 1.64
Stake: 5/10
América-MG and Fluminense meet at Raimundo Sampaio Stadium in a match for the 19th matchday of Serie A. Only two recent direct matches between these two teams have been recorded: on 14-08-2016, which ended with the victory of Fluminense by (1-0), and on 05-15-2016, which ended with the victory of Fluminense by (0-1). In this meeting the home factor could play an important role, since both teams present significant differences in the results achieved at home and as a visitor.
Analysis of America-MG
The home team is currently in 11th place with 21 points, after 6 wins, 3 draws and 9 losses. In the penultimate game, drew at home against Palmeiras by (0-0). In the last, he lost out against Bahia by (1-0). This is a team affected by the home factor, stronger when they play with the support of their fans, since in the last 30 games has recorded 2 wins, 4 draws and 9 losses as a visitor, with 10 goals scored and 19 conceded; against 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats in his stadium, with 19 goals scored and 17 conceded. For the championship, América-MG had 17 points in 27 chances, after 5 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses in their last 9 games at their stadium. The team conceded goals in 7 of the last 10 games for this competition, so they have not been very strong defensively. In their home games there is a tendency to score goals, as 6 of their last 9 games for this competition have finished with over 2.5 goals. In 18 games in this event, he suffered the first goal 8 times and only got 1 turnaround.
América Mineiro is a club that has never managed to win the Serie A of the Brazilian Championship, having as its most important title in its history two cups of the National B Series, being the last title won in 2017. In the current season, the team have done a good winning 21 of the 54 points played so far by the national championship, thus occupying the eleventh position. In the nine games that America Mineiro played at home for the Brazilian Championship so far, in six of them were scored three or fewer goals. I believe that in this match, América Mineiro, although it has lost some of its offensive power, will be able to keep its defense well posted and treats much difficulty for the attack adversary, making this a confrontation for few goals.
Analysis of Fluminense
After 6 wins, 4 draws and 8 losses, the visiting team is in 9th place, having won 22 points. In the last game, he lost with Internacional at home (0-3), after having drawn 1-1 at home in a game against Bahia, (1-1). This is a team affected by the home factor, stronger when played with the support of their fans, since in the last 30 games has recorded 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 losses as a visitor, with a total of 16 goals scored and 19 conceded; against 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses in his stadium, with a total of 22 goals scored and 14 conceded. In the last game he played, for the Copa Sudamericana, won Defensor Sporting away by (0-1). In the last 9 away games for the league, Fluminense has 2 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses, so he has 8 points out of 27. The team conceded goals to their opponents in 9 of the last 10 games for this competition, so they have not been very strong defensively. In their away games for this competition there is a tendency for goals to be scored, as 6 in 9 finished with over 2.5 goals in the score. In 18 games in this event, he only achieved 1 turnaround in the 10 games in which he suffered the first goal.
Fluminense is a club that has been champion of the Brazilian Championship on four occasions, the last one in 2012, besides a Brazilian Cup, a First League and thirty-one achievements of the Carioca Championship. Fluminense is in ninth position of the 2016 Brasileirão, coming from three days without winning, now will face América Mineiro, a team that has shown to have a good defense, which should leave the game well truncated and with few goals. In addition, when looking for the history of confrontations between América Mineiro and Fluminense, we see that in four occasions in the house of America, we see that only one game had 3 goals, while the other three games had all less than 2.5 goals.
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