América Mineiro - Grêmio Football prediction

América Mineiro and Grêmio play in a match of the 30th round of the Brasileirão Serie A. In the last confrontation between these teams in this competition, on 10-06-2018, Grêmio won at home by (1-0). The history of recent direct clashes is favorable to the visiting team, which has 2 wins and 1 draw in the last 3 games. In this match the home factor can play an important role, since both teams present significant differences in the results achieved at home and as a visitor.

Analysis of Mining America
After 8 wins, 9 draws and 12 losses, the home team is in 15th place, having won 33 points. In the last match, they drew with Atlético-MG away by (0-0), after in the previous game to have lost out in a game against Atletico-PR, (4-0). This is a stronger team when you play in your stadium, because in the last 30 games you have 2 wins, 4 draws and 9 losses as a visitor; against 6 wins, 6 draws and 3 losses in his stadium. In the last 10 home games for the championship, América Mineiro has recorded 3 wins, 6 draws and 1 loss, having won 15 points out of 30.

In this competition, he has not lost in his stadium for 8 matches. In his home games there are some frequent scorers: 0-0 (6 in 14 matches) and 0-0 (5 in 14 matches). In his home matches for the competition there is a tendency towards few goals, since 6 of the last 14 that disputed finished with Less than 1.5 goals. In 29 games in this competition, he only managed 1 turn on the scoreboard in 13 games in which he conceded the first goal. There are 1 highlights in the last 14 home games in this competition: he scored 6 of his 17 goals in minutes (31'-45 ').

América MG is going through a bad phase in the Brazilian Championship, it has not won 6 rounds from which it has drawn 4 and lost 2 and it needs to seek recovery, since it is falling in the qualifying table and now it is only 2 points of the zone of relegation. The biggest problem has been the inefficiency of his offensive sector that has scored just 25 goals, the fourth worst of the national, both having only scored 1 goal in his last 6 games. Playing at home like this Saturday's match, America MG have the fourth worst campaign of the Series A and it is worth noting that they did not score goals in 4 of the last 6 games before their fans, showing again their fragility offensive. For the confrontation with the Grêmio, the coach Adilson Batista can not count on lateral Norberto on account of injury.
 
Grêmio Analysis
The visiting team is currently in 5th place with 51 points, after 14 wins, 9 draws and 6 losses. In the penultimate match, they tied at home to Bahia by (2-2). In the last match, lost out to Palmeiras by (2-0). This is a stronger team when playing in his stadium, because in the last 30 games he has 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 losses as a visitor; against 10 wins, 4 draws and 1 defeat in his stadium. In the championship, Grêmio won 12 points out of 30 after 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses in their last 10 games. In matches played outside the league, the most frequent result at the end of the first 45 'was 0-0, which was verified in 8 of his 15 matches. His attack has scored regularly, as he has managed to achieve in 7 of the last 10 games in this competition. In their away games there is a tendency towards few goals, since 12 of their last 14 games by the competition finished with Less than 2.5 goals. In 29 games in this competition, he suffered the first goal 9 times and only got 2 turns on the scoreboard.

Grêmio has focused on the Copa Libertadores where they are in the semifinals, spared athletes in several games, but still stands at the top of the standings only 5 points behind second-placed and Internacional's biggest rival. The team is characterized by an excellent defensive system that has only 18 goals, being the least leaked of the competition, being a team that leaves very few spaces and exerts a strong mark in the whole field. Playing away from home, like the match on Saturday, Grêmio won only 1 of their last 5 games and the most worrying is that they scored only 2 goals, and in the last match in this type of situation, did not give even a certain kick to the goal adversary, something even worrisome for the alternative team it has been using. For the game against América MG, coach Renato Gaúcho should spare again his top athletes already thinking about the Libertadores semi-final against River Plate next week.