Pick: Double Chance? Home or Draw
Odds: 1.38
Stake: 10/10
Boca Juniors and River Plate measure their strength at the Alberto José Armando Stadium in a meeting for the Copa Libertadores de America (Finals). The history of direct matches played at this stadium favors the visiting team, who in the last 7 matches won 4, drew 2 and lost 1. Indeed, in the last match in this stadium, in a match for the Argentine Championship, on 09-29-2018, River Plate only managed to win, by (0-2). The goals of the match were scored by G. Martinez (15 ') and I. Scocco (69') for River Plate. It is necessary to analyze with special attention the home / outside condition, as Boca Juniors presents different results at home and abroad.
Analysis of Boca Juniors
The home team arrives in this phase of the Copa Libertadores de America (Finals) after having played previous qualifiers with: Palmeiras, Cruzeiro and Libertad. This is a team affected by the home factor, stronger when you play in front of your fans, since in the last 30 matches you have 3 wins, 9 draws and 3 losses as a visitor, with 21 goals scored and 21 conceded, against 11 wins, 1 draw and 3 home defeats, with 32 goals scored and 7 conceded. In the last game he played for the Argentine Championship, he won the Tigers at home (4-1). In the last 6 home games for the Copa Libertadores of America Boca Juniors has recorded 5 victories and 1 defeat.
For this competition, he records a 4-game winning streak in his last home games and has not lost any of the last 8 games. His attack has scored regularly, as he has managed to achieve in 9 of the last 10 games in this competition. In 12 games in this competition, he only managed 1 turn on the scoreboard in the 5 games in which he suffered the first goal.
Boca Juniors is a club that has won the Copa Libertadores six times, being the most recent title won in 2007, as well as having two South American Cup titles and having twenty-six Argentine Championship titles. This season, the team made a good campaign inside the Copa Libertadores, since they lost only one game, counting the group phase and eliminatory phase. In the six games that Boca Juniors played as host for the 2018 Copa Libertadores so far, five of them were scoring less than 2.5 goals for the teams. I believe that in this match Boca Juniors will make another game of few goals because it is the first leg of the Libertadores final.
River Plate Review
Until arriving in this phase of the Copa Libertadores de America (Finals), the visiting team eliminated: Grêmio, Independiente and Racing. This is a team little affected by the house factor, that is, presents similar results at home and away, since in the last 30 games has recorded 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 losses as a visitor, with a total of 18 goals scored and 8 conceded. Already inside the home, he won 10 wins, 4 draws and 1 loss, with a total of 30 goals scored and 5 conceded. In the last game he played for the Argentine Championship, he lost with Estudiantes De La Plata away by (1-0). In the last 6 games as a visitor to the Copa Libertadores de America, River Plate recorded 3 wins and 3 draws.
For this competition, you have not lost any of the last 6 games outside your stadium. In his away games there is a tendency towards few goals, since 13 of his last 25 games finished with Less than 1,5 goals and 17 in 25 finished with Less than 2.5 goals.
River Plate is a club that has thirty-two Argentine Championship titles, three Copa Libertadores titles and one Intercontinental Cup title. In the last five games that River Plate played away from home this year's Copa Libertadores, we see that there have been three victories and two defeats, but we see that on three occasions the team played games with less than 2.5 goals, so I believe that being the first game of the final and playing in the home of Boca Juniors, most likely we will have a game quite truncated and with both teams very worried about not conceding goals, this will result in a game with few goals.
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