Botafogo - Bahia Football prediction

Botafogo and Bahia face each other at the Nilton Santos Stadium in a match for the 30th round of the Brasileirão Serie A. Both teams tied (3-3) on 10-06-2018 the last time they faced each other in this edition of the league. At this stage, the history of direct confrontations is favorable to the home team, which has 3 wins in the last 3 games. However, the last time they faced this stage was on 04-10-2018, in a match for the South American Bridgestone Cup that ended with the victory of Bahia by (4-5) in the tiebreaker through penalties. The goals of the match were scored by Rodrigo Pimpão (26 ') and Luiz Fernando (40') for Botafogo and Edigar Junio ​​(33 ') for Bahia. In this match the home factor can play an important role, since both teams present significant differences in the results achieved at home and as a visitor.

Botafogo Analysis
The home team is currently in 12th place with 35 points earned after 8 wins, 11 draws and 10 losses. In the penultimate match, tied at home for Vasco by (1-1). In the last match, he tied for Ceará (0-0). This is a team affected by the house factor, the stronger when you play in front of your fans, since in the last 30 matches you have 2 wins, 3 draws and 10 losses as a visitor, with 14 goals scored and 30 conceded, against 7 wins, 7 draws and 1 home defeat, with 18 goals scored and 11 conceded. In the last 10 home games for the championship, Botafogo recorded 4 wins, 5 draws and 1 loss, having won 17 points out of 30. In the matches played in his stadium there are some frequent scorers at the end of the first 45 ': 1-1 (5 in 14 matches) and 0-0 (6 in 14 matches). Defensive solidity has not been his strong point, having conceded goals in 7 of the last 10 games in this competition. In 29 games in this competition, he only managed 1 turn on the scoreboard in 13 games in which he conceded the first goal. In the last 14 home games in this competition there are 1 highlights: you have 5 of your 11 goals between minutes (31'-45 ').

Botafogo is a club that has already won the Brazilian Championship Series A, the most recent title being won in 1995, as well as a Serie B title in the Brazilian Championship in 2015. In the current season, the team has been making a poor campaign, conquering only 35 of the 87 points played so far, thus being in the middle of the table, but only four points behind the first team within the relegation zone. In the last five games that Botafogo played as principal, counting more than the national championship, in four of them were scored more than 1.5 goals. I believe that in this match, by playing at home, Botafogo will make another game with more than 1.5 goals, having the quality to take advantage of the deficiencies of the opponent to score his goals.

Analysis of Bahia
After 8 wins, 10 draws and 11 losses, the visiting team is in 13th place, having won 34 points. In the last match, he won the Paraná Clube home (2-0), after the previous match drew away in a game against Grêmio, (2-2). This is a team affected by the home factor, stronger when played with the support of their fans, since in the last 30 games has recorded 2 wins, 5 draws and 8 losses as a visitor, with a total of 11 goals scored and 19 conceded. Already inside the home, won 7 wins, 7 draws and 1 loss, with a total of 20 goals scored and 9 conceded. In the last 10 away games for the championship, Bahia has won 1, 4 draws and 5 losses, having won 7 points out of 30. In the games played as a visitor there are some more frequent results: at the end of the first 45 '0-0 (6 in 15 games) and at the end of the game 2-0 (5 in 15 games). There is a tendency to have goals in their away games, as 12 of the last 14 matches they played for this competition ended with over 1.5 goals. In 29 games in this competition, he suffered the first goal 14 times and never managed to turn the score. In the last 14 away games for this competition there is 1 period that stands out: scored 3 of his 8 goals between the minutes (76'-90 ').

Bahia is a club that has twice won the title of the Brazilian Championship Series A, the last in 1988, in addition the club has seven titles of the Bahian Championship and was also the winner of the Northeast Cup in 2017. This year 2018 , Bahia was a Bahian champion and has been running for both the South American Cup and the 2018 Brazilian Serie A Championship, where he is currently thirteenth. Bahia will have a match against Atletico Paranaense four days after the confrontation against Botafogo for the South American Cup, but it should not spare many players as both teams must win to stay away from the relegation zone. I expect a busy game between Botafogo and Bahia, with both teams attacking and seeking their goals.