Brooklyn Nets - New Orleans Pelicans Basketball prediction

Both teams ranked one of the worst in defensive efficiency. 

Pelicans scores 116 points per game and allows 115. 
Brooklyn scores 110 points per game and allows 111. 

Last 3 head to head games Pelicans averages 127 points per game while Nets averages 118. 

in Last 10 games,  Nets played 6 games at home. 4 of them went OVER! 
In last 10 games, Pelicans played 5 road games and 3 of them went OVER! 

I’m putting the line a bit lower than the original line. I’m seeing this as a safebet