Corinthians - Sao Paulo Football prediction

Corinthians and Sao Paulo face each other in a match for the 33rd round of the Serie A series. São Paulo won at home (3-1) last time they faced each other in this edition of the league on 22-07-2018. Contrary to what one would expect, the record of recent direct matches is favorable to Corinthians, who in the last 17 matches won 8, drawn 5 and lost 4. It is necessary to analyze with particular attention the home / away condition, as Corinthians presents different results at home and abroad.

Analysis of Corinthians
After 10 wins, 9 draws and 13 losses, the home team is in 12th place, having won 39 points. In the last match, he lost with Botafogo away (1-0), after having won at home in a game against Bahia, (2-1). This is a stronger team when you play in your stadium, because in the last 30 games you have 2 wins, 3 draws and 10 losses as a visitor; against 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses in his stadium. For the championship, Corinthians won 18 points out of 30, after 5 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses in their last 10 games at their stadium. In their domestic league games the most frequent marker in the break was 0-0 (8 in 16 matches). The team conceded goals to their opponents in 9 of their last 10 games in this competition, so they have not been very strong defensively. In his home matches for this competition there is a tendency towards few goals, since in 12 of the last 16 that disputed there were less than 3 goals. In 32 games in this competition, only managed 2 turns on the board in the 16 games in which he suffered the first goal.

Corinthians is a club that has already won the Serie A of the Brazilian Championship seven times, being the most recent title won last year in 2017, in addition to having three titles of the Brazil Cup and one of the Copa Libertadores. In the current season, the team has been making an irregular campaign within the national championship, winning 39 of the 96 points played so far, thus being in the middle of the table, five points in front of the relegation zone. In the last five games that Corinthians played as principal, counting only the national championship, in all of them were scored less than 1.5 goals in the first half. I believe that in this confrontation Corinthians, facing a difficult opponent, will make another game truncated, especially in the first half.

Analysis of São Paulo
The visiting team is currently in 4th place with 57 points, after 15 wins, 12 draws and 5 losses. In the penultimate match, he won off to Victory by (0-1). In the last match, they drew at home to Flamengo by (2-2). This is a team that maintains the income when it plays outside its stadium, because in the last 30 games it registers 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses as a visitor; against 8 wins, 5 draws and 2 losses in his stadium. In the championship, São Paulo won 15 points in 30 chances, after 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses in the last 10 games they played as a visitor. In 32 games in this competition, he only managed 1 turn on the scoreboard in the 7 games in which he conceded the first goal.

São Paulo is a club that has six Brazilian Serie A titles, the most recent title being won in 2008, as well as having three Copa Libertadores titles and a Club World Cup, won in 2005. In the current season, the team has been a good general champion, winning 57 of the 96 points played so far by the national championship, being thus among the first placed, nine points behind the leader, Palmeiras. In the last five games that São Paulo played as a visitor for the national championship, in three of them were scored less than 1.5 goals in the first half. I believe that in this match, São Paulo, playing against a regional rival and no longer in their best moment, will have difficulties playing against Corinthians and will play a few goals.