Cruzeiro - Chapecoense Football prediction

Cruzeiro and Chapecoense meet at Estadio Governador Magalhães Pinto in a match for the 30th round of the Brasileirão Serie A. Chapecoense won at home (2-0) last time they faced each other in this edition of the league on 06-09- 2018. The history of direct confrontations in this stadium indicates a balance between these two teams, since there was 1 tie and 2 wins for each team in the last 5 matches. However, in the last match at this stage, in a match for Brasileirão Serie A, on 04-06-2017, Chapecoense won by (0-2). The goals of the match were scored by Wellington Paulista (27 ') and Douglas Grolli (47') for Chapecoense. In this match the house factor may play a decisive role, as Chapecoense has shown differences in performance in their games at home and as a visitor.

Analysis of Cruzeiro 
After 9 wins, 10 draws and 9 losses, the home team is in 10th place, having won 37 points. In the last match, he lost with Vasco away by (2-0), after in the previous game to have lost out in a match against Palmeiras, by (3-1). This is a team little affected by the house factor, that is, presents similar results at home and away, since in the last 30 matches has 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats as a visitor, with 11 goals scored and 17 conceded, against 5 victories , 7 draws and 3 home defeats, with 16 goals scored and 14 conceded. The team arrives at this meeting after a victory away with Corinthians by (1-2). For the championship, Cruzeiro had 19 points out of 30, after 5 wins, 4 draws and 1 loss in their last 10 games at their stadium. In their home league games the most frequent marker in the break was 0-0 (6 out of 13 matches). The team conceded goals to their opponents in 7 of their last 10 games in this competition, so they have not been very strong defensively. In 28 games in this competition, he suffered the first goal 16 times and only got 3 turns on the scoreboard. There are 2 periods in the last 13 home games in this competition: he scored 7 of his 15 goals in minutes (61'-75 '); suffered 4 of his 9 goals between the minutes (16'-30 ').

Cruzeiro is a club that has already won the Serie A of the Brazilian Championship four times, the most recent title being won in 2014, and having just won the Brazilian Cup by beating Corinthians 3x1 (in aggregate). In the current season, the team has been doing a relatively good campaign within the Brazilian Championship, winning 37 of the 87 points it has played so far, thus being in the middle of the table. Analyzing the performance of Cruzeiro as principal, we see in the thirteen games he played at home for the Brazilian Championship this year, in eight of them were scored more than 1.5 goals and the team lost only two of them. I believe that in this confrontation, for having already been champion of the Brazil Cup, Cruzeiro will enter the field with a mixed team, which will make an open and busy confrontation.

Analysis of Chapecoense
The visiting team is currently in 18th place with 31 points, after 7 wins, 10 draws and 12 defeats. In the penultimate match, won at home to Atletico-MG by (1-0). In the last match, lost at home to Vitoria by (0-1). This is a team affected by the home factor, stronger when played with the support of their fans, since in the last 30 games has recorded 5 draws and 10 defeats as a visitor, with a total of 8 goals scored and 26 conceded. Already inside the home, won 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses, with a total of 18 goals scored and 13 conceded. His last game as a visitor to this competition ended with a 3-1 loss to Ceará. In the last 10 games out of the championship, Chapecoense has had 4 draws and 6 defeats, having won 4 points out of 30.

For this competition, you do not win as a visitor for 14 games. In the matches played out in the league, the most frequent result at the end of the first 45 'was 0-0, which occurred in 6 of his 15 matches. Defensive solidity has not been his strong point, having conceded goals in 9 of the last 10 games but his attack has scored regularly as he has scored goals in 8 of the last 10 games for this competition. In 29 games in this competition, only got 3 turns on the scoreboard in the 16 games in which he suffered the first goal.

Chapecoense is a Santa Catarina club that has never won the Brazilian Serie A title, in 2013 it was runner-up in Serie B and has won access to Serie A. Chapecoense has three championship titles from Santa Catarina and has a South American title given by Atletico Nacional who gave up the cup in 2016 after the aerial tragedy that killed players, coaching staff and reporters. Currently in the 2018 season of the Brazilian Serie A Championship, Chapecoense is in eighteenth place and with great chances of getting out of the uncomfortable ZR (Relegation Zone), as it currently has 31 points, for example Corinthians, who is the tenth first place has 35 points, that is, has many teams jammed up with a score very close to Chapecoense. But the team have not yet met in their away games in the last five games as a visitor, were four defeats and a draw, but now Chapecoense has a new factor, the debut of coach Claudinei Oliveira.