CSM Fagaras - CSS Calarasi Handball prediction

This is Handball match in Romania 1 league between CSM Fagaras and Dunarea Calarsi. I choose to bet on under 55,5 goals. This is pure on statistics because CSM Fagaras at home is on average of 50 goals per match. Last 2 times they played at home against Calarasi it stayed under this margin, it was also under 50 goals both times. Even when they went away at Calarasi where they play a lot more pace, they were 54 and 48 goals in those matches. So I think picking under 55,5 goals in this match has a great value to play.