Pick: Thiem -1.5 sets
Odds: 2.25
Stake: 10/10
Stefanos Tsitsipas has really improved as a player in the past year and a half, he is now a clear 100 top player with a lot of potentials to go further. He is coming off the top victory of his career against Richard Gasquet who is a former top 10 player in straight sets but now he plays in a very unfavorable matchup. Dominic Thiem will be standing on the other side of the net, enjoying top 5 position in the world and winning three straight matches in straight sets.
Reasoning why I think that Thiem should beat Stefanos in straight sets is quite simple, Stefanos isn't a very good defensive player, he has a big serve but likes to be the one initiating it all on the court which Dominic will not allow in this game by any means. Dominic is also a very big server, but he really is one of the best and strongest baseliners on tour. Sure he will make unforced errors but so will the Greek.
I think that when on the run Stefanos will struggle in this match, Thiem is a great returner, if he can neutralize that shot from the Greek player he will cruise through this one.
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Rating