Germany - Lithuania Basketball prediction

Basketball Eurobasket match in group stage between Germany which today plays against Lithuania in group B and this is a direct first place fight.
There is a two way of this match will go: Germany will lose with a big difference or Germany will play the best game they can and will show another surprise like they did yesterday with Italy. I didn't expect them to win this match because Lithuanian team is one of the favorites of this competition but I'm expecting to see a very close game in this match between these two teams. 

Last matches of these two teams:

Italy 55:61 Germany / Germany 80:82 Israel / Georgia 57:67 Germany / Germany 75:63 Ukraine 

Lithuania 77:79 Georgia / Israel 73:88 Lithuania / Lithuania 78:73 Italy / Ukraine 62:94 Lithuania

Head to Head matches:

11.09.11 - Eurobasket: Lithuania 84:75 Germany 
14.08.10 -  Supercup Bamberg: Germany 67:78 Lithuania
03.09.06 - World Championship: Germany 62:77 Lithuania

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For this match, I'm going with Asian Handicap / Germany +8.5  with 1.71 odds on Pinnacle