Grêmio - Chapecoense Football prediction

Grêmio and Chapecoense meet at the Grêmio Arena in a match for the 35th round of the Brasileirão Serie A. Both teams drew 1-1 on 29-07-2018, the last time they faced each other in this edition of the league. The history of direct confrontations in this stadium indicates a balance between these two teams, since there have been 2 victories for each team in the last 4 matches. However, in the last match at this stage, in a match for Brasileirão Serie A, on 17-09-2017, Chapecoense won by (0-1). Arthur (46 ') scored the only goal of the match. Special attention is needed for the home / off condition, since both teams present significantly different results in their home and away games.

Grêmio Analysis
After 16 wins, 11 draws and 7 losses, the home team is in 4th place, having won 59 points. In the last match, they drew 1-1 with Sao Paulo, after having won 2-1 in the home game against Vasco in the previous game. This is a team affected by the home factor, stronger when you play in front of your fans, since in the last 30 matches you have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 losses as a visitor, with 11 goals scored and 12 conceded, against 10 wins, 3 draws and 2 home defeats, with 35 goals scored and 15 conceded. In the last 10 home games for the championship, Grêmio has won 7 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss, having won 23 points out of 30. In the matches played in their championship stadium, the most frequent result at the end of the first 45 'was 0-0, which occurred in 6 of their 17 matches. Defensive solidity has not been his strong point, having conceded goals in 7 of the last 10 games, but his attack has scored regularly as he has scored goals in 9 of the last 10 matches in this competition. In 34 games in this competition, he suffered the first goal 12 times and only got 3 turns on the scoreboard. There are 1 highlights in the last 17 home games in this competition: he suffered 5 of his 14 goals in minutes (0'-15 ').

Grêmio is a club that throughout its history has two titles of Serie A of the Brazilian Championship, besides having five titles of the Glass of Brazil and three of the Glass Liberators, conquered for the last time last year. In the current season, the team has been making a good campaign within the national championship and so is very close to achieving a classification for the next edition of the Copa Libertadores, being today among the first placed. In the last five games that Grêmio played as host, counting several competitions, in all of them were scored more than 1.5 goals by the teams. I believe that in this confrontation, Grêmio will play another busy game with several goals, considering that he has an effective attack, but he suffers goals regularly.

Analysis of Chapecoense
The visiting team is currently in 17th place with 37 points, after 9 wins, 10 draws and 15 losses. In the penultimate match, he won out to Santos by (0-1). In the last match, lost at home to Botafogo by (0-1). This is a team affected by the home factor, stronger when played with the support of their fans, since in the last 30 games has recorded 1 win, 4 draws and 10 defeats as a visitor, with a total of 8 goals scored and 24 conceded. Already inside the home, won 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses, with a total of 16 goals scored and 12 conceded. In the last 10 away games Chapecoense has won 1, 2 draws and 7 losses, having won 5 points out of 30. In his league games as a visitor, the most frequent result in the break was 0-0 (7 out of 17 matches). Defensive solidity has not been his strong point, having conceded goals in 7 of the last 10 games for this competition. In 34 games in this competition, he only managed 3 turns on the scoreboard in 19 games in which he suffered the first goal.

Chapecoense is a club that has not yet won the Brazilian Championship Series A, but has never been relegated to the second division in its history, as well as having a South American Cup title (2016) and a runner-up in the South Cup Winners' Cup -American. In the current season, the team has been making a very irregular campaign inside the national championship and so it continues fighting against relegation, being today the first team inside the ZR, a point behind the 16th place, Ceará. In the last eight games that Chapecoense played as a visitor, all for the national championship, in six of them were scored more than 1.5 goals by the teams. I believe that in this match, Chapecoense, who needs a victory, will make another very busy game that will have several goals.