Grêmio - Vasco Football prediction

Grêmio and Vasco face each other in a match for the 33rd round of the Brasileirão Serie A. Vasco won at home (1-0) last time they faced each other in this edition of the league on 22-07-2018. The record of direct confrontations of the last 3 years between the two teams could not be more balanced, since there was 1 tie and 2 wins for each team of the last 5 times that they met. Special attention is needed for the home / off condition, since both teams present significantly different results in their home and away games.

Grêmio Analysis
The home team is currently in 5th place with 55 points earned after 15 wins, 10 draws and 7 losses. In the penultimate match, he lost at home to the Sport by (3-4). In the last match, he won out for Atlético-MG by (0-1). This is a stronger team when you play in your stadium, because in the last 30 games you have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 losses as a visitor; against 10 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses in his stadium. For the championship, Grêmio had 23 points out of 30, after 7 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss in their last 10 games at their stadium. In the matches played in his championship stadium, the most frequent result at the end of the first 45 'was 0-0, which occurred in 6 of his 16 matches. His attack has scored regularly as he has scored goals in 7 of the last 10 games in this competition. In 32 games in this competition, he suffered the first goal 11 times and only got 2 turns on the scoreboard.

The Grêmio prioritized the dispute of the Glass of Brazil and the Liberating Glass, but ended up falling in both, and now prioritises the Series A that is what remains to guarantee its position in the Liberators of the next season. The team has a powerful attack that scores goals regularly and has high quality athletes with high power of decision, but its great asset is the solid defense, having suffered only 23 goals and has the defense less leaked, being a team very well organized behind, leaving very few spaces to the opponents and counts on one of the best defenders of Brazil, the athlete Geromel that has acted to a very high level already a few years. Playing at home, like the match this Sunday, Grêmio lost only 1 of his last 11 games where he even played with a reserve team, being a very strong team in his stadium, worth noting that he has the third best attack of the national in this type of situation. For the confrontation with Vasco da Gama, coach Renato Gaucho will not be able to count on striker Luan who still recovers from injury.

Analysis of Vasco
After 9 wins, 11 draws and 12 losses, the visiting team is in 13th place, having won 38 points. In the last match, he beat Fluminense 2-1 (0-1), after having drawn 1-1 at home against FC Internazionale Milano in the last match. This is a team affected by the home factor, stronger when played with the support of their fans, since in the last 30 games has recorded 1 win, 5 draws and 9 losses as a visitor, with a total of 10 goals scored and 22 conceded. Already inside the home, he won 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses, with a total of 21 goals scored and 17 conceded. In the last 10 out of the league Vasco has won 1, 4 draws and 5 losses, having won 7 points out of 30. In his games as a visitor there are some frequent results: at 0-0 intervals (6 in 16 matches) and at the end of the match 1-1 (6 in 16 matches). The team have conceded goals in eight of their last 10 games, so they have not shown great defensive solidity, but their attack has been regular, as they have managed to achieve in 9 of the last 10 matches in this competition. In 32 games in this competition, he suffered the first goal 19 times and only managed 2 turns on the scoreboard.

Vasco da Gama is campaigning lower than expected in Serie A, but he has won a great victory in the classic of the last round and is looking for another positive result to move away from the relegation zone which has a 4-point lead. The team has a middle attack that has scored 37 goals and is only the ninth best of the competition, but the big problem is its fragile defense that has conceded 43 goals and is the fifth more leaked. Playing away from home, like Sunday's match, Vasco da Gama has won only 1 of his last 16 games and this victory took place in Maracanã, which is a neutral field, showing great difficulty to play away from his dominions where he can not create and yet ends up leaving many spaces behind. For the confrontation before the Grêmio, the coach Alberto Valentim can not count on the defender Leandro Castán by account of suspension.