Palmeiras - Ceará Football prediction

Palmeiras and Ceará meet at the Paulo Machado de Carvalho Municipal Stadium in a match for the 30th round of the Brasileirão Serie A. Both teams tied (2-2) on 10-06-2018, the last time they faced each other in this edition the league. The home / away condition deserves special attention, since although this is a match between 1º and 17º of the overall classification, in fact this is a confrontation between the 3rd placed in home games and the 10th as a visitor.

Analysis of the Palmeiras
After 17 wins, 8 draws and 4 losses, the home team is in 1st place, having won 59 points. In the last match, he beat Grêmio at home (2-0), having won in the previous game in a game against Sao Paulo, (0-2). This is a team affected by the home factor, having won 35 points in their stadium, with 27 goals scored and 8 conceded, against 24 points out, where he scored 18 goals and suffered 10. For the championship, Palmeiras won 28 points in 30 possible , after 9 wins and 1 draw in the last 10 games he played in his stadium.

For this competition, he records a run of 8 wins in his last home games and has not lost any of the last 10 games in his stadium. In his home games there are some frequent scorers in the break: 1-0 (5 in 14 games) and 0-0 (5 in 14 games). The defense has been in good shape and only conceded in 3 of the last 10 games, and his attack has regularly scored, as he has managed to achieve in 9 of the last 10 games in this competition. The team does not usually feel difficult to open the scoring: they managed to score the first goal in 22 of the last 29 matches for Brasileirão Serie A, 22 of them reached the interval in the lead in 14 and managed to maintain the advantage until the end of the 90 'in 17. In 29 games in the competition, he never managed to turn the scoring in the four games in which he suffered the first goal. In the last 14 home games in this competition there are 1 highlights: he has 3 of his 7 goals between minutes (46'-60 ').

Palmeiras makes an excellent campaign in the Brazilian Championship where he leads with a 3-point advantage for second place and goes looking for 3 more points to get even closer to the title. The team is characterized by an excellent balance between the offensive and defensive sectors, having scored 45 goals, being the second best attack of the competition, and has suffered 18 goals, having the defense less leaked and these figures help to explain why it is the favorite to be Brazilian champion. Playing at home, such as this Sunday's match, Palmeiras has the second-best Serie A campaign and is the fourth most scored and the third that conceded the least goals in this type of situation, so much that he suffered only 1 goal and scored 14 in the last 7 games in front of his fans. For the clash with Ceará, coach Felipão should spare a few pieces thinking about the Copa Libertadores next Wednesday, but the team has a reserve bank of enormous quality that manages to maintain the excellent level of the full title team.

Analysis of Ceará
The visiting team is currently in 17th place with 31 points, after 7 wins, 10 draws and 11 losses. In the penultimate match, he won at home to Chapecoense by (3-1). In the last match, tied at home to Botafogo by (0-0). This is a team affected by the home factor, having won 10 points and 20 visitors in their stadium, with 14 goals scored and 14 goals conceded at home, against 8 goals scored and 15 suffered as a visitor. His last game as a visitor to this competition ended with a 3-2 loss to Grêmio. In the last 10 games away from the league, Ceará has 2 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses, having won 9 points out of 30. In matches played outside the league, the most frequent result at the end of the first 45 'was 0-0, which was verified in 8 of his 15 matches. In his away games for this competition there is a tendency towards few goals, since in 10 of the last 13 that disputed there were less than 3 goals. In 28 games in this competition, he only managed 1 turn on the scoreboard in 13 games in which he conceded the first goal. There are 2 periods in the last 13 matches played as a visitor for this competition: scored 3 of his 8 goals between the minutes (0'-15 '); suffered six of his 15 goals in minutes (76'-90 ').

Ceará has risen a lot of income after the arrival of coach Lisca, has lost only 1 of his last 7 games and is looking for a positive result to leave the relegation zone. The team's biggest problem is the inefficiency of their attack which has scored only 22 goals, being the second worst of the competition, while the defense has been reasonable, but suffers a lot with quality opponents, Palmeiras case. Playing away from home, such as this Sunday's match, Ceará have won only 2 of their last 14 games and are the fourth team to score the least goals in this kind of situation, again showing the inefficiency of their offensive sector.