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  • Publish date: 2018-10-21 23:52:16
    Event date: 2018-10-22 00:00:00
    Stake: 10/10
    Flamengo wim @1.52
    Won
    Ended 2018/10/22
    10/10
    Brazil Serie A
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    tatinhocosta7
    tatinhocosta7 +3.7% (953)
    Pick: Flamengo wim
    Odds: 1.52
    Stake: 10/10

    Paraná Clube and Flamengo play in a match of the 30th round of Brasileirão Serie A. In the last confrontation between these teams in this competition, on 10-06-2018, Flamengo won at home (2-0). In this match the home factor can play an important role, since both teams present significant differences in the results achieved at home and as a visitor.

    Analysis of Paraná Clube
    The home team is currently in 20th place with 17 points earned after 3 wins, 8 draws and 18 losses. In the penultimate match, he lost out to Fluminense by (4-0). In the last match, he lost out to Bahia by (2-0). This is a team affected by the home factor, stronger when you play in front of your fans, since in the last 30 matches you have 1 draw and 14 defeats as a visitor, with 2 goals scored and 28 goals conceded, against 4 wins, 7 draws and 4 losses at home with 12 goals scored and 15 conceded. For the championship, the Paraná Clube won 14 points in 30 chances, after 3 wins, 5 draws and 2 losses in the last 10 games that played in his stadium.

    In this competition, he has not won any of his last 15 games. In the games played in his stadium there are some more frequent results: at the end of the first 45 '0-0 (7 in 14 matches) and at the end of the match 1-1 (5 in 14 matches). Defensive solidity has not been his strong point, having conceded at least one goal in each of the last 10 games, and his attack is not in good shape as he did not score goals in 7 of the last 10 matches in this competition. In his home matches for this competition there is a tendency towards few goals, since in 11 of the last 14 that disputed there were less than 3 goals. This is a team that scored few times first and only managed to open the scoring in 5 of their last 29 games for Brasileirão Serie A, of those 5 reached the break in lead in 2 and won in the late 90 'in 3. In 29 games in the competition, never managed to turn the board in the 22 games in which he suffered the first goal. In the last 14 home games in this competition there are 1 highlights: he scored 4 of his 10 goals in the minutes (76'-90 ').

    The Paraná Clube is campaigning below criticism in Serie A and is practically low, remaining to try to finish the competition with dignity, since it has 15 points behind the first team outside the relegation zone. The team has serious problems both in the offensive and defensive sector, having scored only 12 goals, being the worst attack of the competition, and has suffered 43 goals, with the defense more leaked and these figures help explain the disastrous performance in the national. Playing at home, such as this Sunday's match, Paraná have the worst Serie A campaign, it is the team that scored the least and the third most suffered goals in this type of situation, showing that even in front of their fans can play in a way minimally acceptable. For the confrontation with Flamengo, newcomer Dado Cavalcanti will not be able to count on Torito Gonzales for injury, an important embezzlement in the already fragile defensive system of the team.
     
    Analysis of Flamengo
    The visiting team is currently in 3rd place with 55 points, after 16 wins, 7 draws and 6 losses. In the penultimate match, he won out for Corinthians by (0-3). In the last match, he won at home to Fluminense by (3-0). This is a team affected by the home factor, stronger when played with the support of their fans, since in the last 30 games has 4 wins, 7 draws and 4 losses as a visitor, with a total of 15 goals scored and 15 conceded. Already inside the home, it won 11 victories, 1 tie and 3 defeats, with a total of 21 goals scored and 6 suffered. In the last 10 games away from the championship, Flamengo has recorded 2 wins, 5 draws and 3 losses, having won 11 points out of 30. In matches played outside the league, the most frequent result at the end of the first 45 'was 1-0, which occurred in 5 of his 15 matches. His attack has marked regularly, since he managed to achieve in 8 of the last 10 games in this competition. In their away games there is a tendency to have goals, since 12 of their last 14 games by the competition finished with More than 1.5 goals. In 29 games in this competition, he suffered the first goal 8 times and never managed to turn the board.

    Flamengo has improved a lot with the arrival of coach Dorival Junior, has been 6 unbeaten games of which he won 4 and drew 2 and goes looking for another 3 points in the fight for the national title, since he is 4 points behind the leader Palmeiras. The team is characterized by a good balance between the offensive and defensive sectors, as it has scored 44 goals, being the third best attack of the Series A, and it has 22 goals, having the fourth defense less leaked and these numbers help to explain the good performance until on here. Playing away from home, such as this Sunday's game, Flamengo has only won 1 of the last 9 games and has tied a lot in this type of situation, being the team that more had equal results in visitor status. For the game against Paraná Clube, coach Dorival Junior should maintain the lineup of the last rounds keeping midfielder Diego in the bench, since with the athlete out of the starting 11, the team has increased a lot of income.

    Betting Tip: 

    This confrontation tends to be quite unbalanced, since the client has cast of very low quality and is already practically demoted, while the visitor has great cast and fight for the national title. In addition, the Paraná Clube did not win 15 games of which lost 11 and drew 4, besides having the worst attack and the third worst defense of the national. Given these factors and the enormous technical difference between the teams, we believe that Flamengo will not find it difficult to beat the poor team of Paraná even away from their dominions.



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