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Rafael Nadal is one of the biggest favorites to win the tournament, top player in the world at the moment and this surface in Australia that is a bit slower really suits his game nicely. He plays against the Argentine player Leonardo Mayer who he played 4 times and Leo only won a set from him once. It was last season in US Open in tiebreak first set after which Rafa followed by 6-3 6-1 6-4. All four times they played Rafa covered the spread and after destroying Estrella don't think that he plans to spend too much time on court in this one.
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